21.08.2026 23:00
Antonio Candini
Referee: Nazareno Arasa
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Match Timeline
San Lorenzo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Matias Valenti
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
46'
I. Perruzzi ↔ G. Abrego
San Lorenzo
🔄
58'
T. Gonzalez ↔ N. Talpone
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
59'
J. Alvarez ↔ M. Insaurralde
San Lorenzo
🟨
67'
Fernando Rodríguez
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
67'
M. Valiente ↔ Y. Moreno
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
69'
Sergio Ojeda
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
70'
José Devecchi
San Lorenzo
🔄
74'
↔ J. Chala
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
83'
M. Reali ↔ A. Ladstatter
San Lorenzo

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.6%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win 23.4%
Draw 23.4%
San Lorenzo Win 53.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.52
San Lorenzo1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
WWDLW
7 GF / 30 GA
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.32
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
4
2.14
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 22 matches
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 24 matches
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Statistic San Lorenzo
2 Wins 8
4 Draws 9
16 Losses 7
7 Goals For 23
30 Goals Against 20
0.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 8
2.14 Shots On Goal 3.82
10.29 Total Shots 10.59
4.19 Corners 3.77
44.3% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Lorenzo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and San Lorenzo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. San Lorenzo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 22 points while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 5:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Sergio Ojeda (1 goals), Gabriel Alanís (1 goals), Facundo Cobos (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Valenti (1 assists), Raúl Lozano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 22 points from 16 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:14, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Auzmendi (3 goals), Alexis Cuello (1 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Matias Reali (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0 times, San Lorenzo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2 / San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 0, draws 1, San Lorenzo wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L D D L L
Knockout Phase