17.08.2026 17:45
Antonio Candini
Referee: F. Echenique
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Match Timeline
Atletico Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Ibrahim Hesar
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
44'
Leonel Vega
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
57'
T. Gonzalez ↔ S. Rosane
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
57'
Y. Moreno ↔ J. Ferreira
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🟨
70'
Ignacio Galván
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
76'
G. Alanis ↔ R. Lozano
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
76'
G. Gonzalez ↔ N. Talpone
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
76'
R. Tesuri ↔ R. Granillo
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
76'
M. Brondo ↔ A. Canelo
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
77'
Clever Ferreira
Atletico Tucuman
82'
C. D. Ferreira Namandu · Assist: L. Godoy
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
88'
F. Romero ↔ M. Valiente
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
88'
L. Vega ↔ J. Fernandez
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
88'
N. Franco ↔ K. Ortiz
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
89'
Ignacio Galván
Atletico Tucuman
🟥
89'
Ignacio Galván
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
90'
N. Lamendola ↔ G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.8%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win 23.6%
Draw 5.6%
Atletico Tucuman Win 70.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.6
Atletico Tucuman1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
WWDLW
7 GF / 29 GA
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WLDWL
27 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
12
2.2
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 21 matches
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 23 matches
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Statistic Atletico Tucuman
2 Wins 7
4 Draws 7
15 Losses 9
7 Goals For 27
29 Goals Against 23
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 6
2.2 Shots On Goal 3.5
10.2 Total Shots 11.95
4.2 Corners 5.1
44.1% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Tucuman. Atletico Tucuman carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 14 points while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Atletico Tucuman in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 5:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Sergio Ojeda (1 goals), Gabriel Alanís (1 goals), Facundo Cobos (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Valenti (1 assists), Raúl Lozano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman sit 13 with 14 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), Renzo Tesuri (1 goals), with creative support from Clever Ferreira (1 assists), Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 1 times, Atletico Tucuman won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2 / Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 1, draws 0, Atletico Tucuman wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase