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--.--.---- --:--
Estrela
FT
1 - 1
Nacional
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Estrela
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
J. Encada ↔ Bernardo Schappo
Estrela
🟨
22'
Guilherme Montóia
Estrela
🟨
26'
Bernardo Schappo
Estrela
⚽
40'
Jose Gomes · Assist: Liziero
Nacional
🟨
45+4'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🔄
46'
↔ Jovane
Estrela
🔄
56'
Robinho ↔ I. Stoica
Estrela
⚽
62'
S. Cabral
Estrela
🟨
74'
Atanas Chernev
Estrela
🔄
84'
A. Marcus ↔ L. Antonetti
Estrela
🔄
84'
Kikas ↔ J. Meireles
Estrela
🔄
85'
Paulinho Boia ↔ M. Nourani
Nacional
🔄
85'
J. Ramirez ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
85'
Witi ↔ Watts
Nacional
🟨
87'
Martim Gustavo Watts
Nacional
🟨
90+7'
Francisco Gonçalves
Nacional
🟨
90+2'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.28
Nacional1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
10 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 10 matches
Nacional Nacional 10 matches
Estrela Statistic Nacional
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 14
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 3.8
11.8 Total Shots 10.6
3.9 Corners 4.7
49.8% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 4 times, Nacional won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Estrela's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Estrela 3-4-3 / Nacional 5-4-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 4, draws 2, Nacional wins 3
Stats
Estrela Estrela
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 11
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 12
6 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
442 Total passes 269
349 Passes accurate 183
2.22 expected_goals 1.26
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
Nacional
R. Ribeiro
R. Ribeiro
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick
A. Chernev
A. Chernev
G. Montoia
G. Montoia
J. Encada
↓
J. Encada
O. Ngom
O. Ngom
P. Moreira
P. Moreira
S. Cabral
⚽
S. Cabral
A. Marcus
↓
A. Marcus
Kikas
↓
Kikas
Robinho
↓
Robinho
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
J. Aurelio
J. Aurelio
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
C. Goncalves
C. Goncalves
Jose Gomes
⚽
Jose Gomes
Witi
↓
Witi
Liziero
🎯
Liziero
C. Labidi
C. Labidi
Paulinho Boia
↓
Paulinho Boia
J. Ramirez
↓
J. Ramirez
Estrela 3-4-3
Starting XI
40
R. Ribeiro
G
30
Luan Patrick
D
79
A. Chernev
🟨 74'
D
21
G. Montoia
🟨 22'
D
17
J. Encada
↓ 18'
M
6
O. Ngom
M
19
P. Moreira
M
55
S. Cabral
⚽ 62'
M
99
A. Marcus
↓ 84'
F
98
Kikas
↓ 84'
F
8
Robinho
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Grilo
G
7
L. Antonetti
↑ 84'
F
9
Rodrigo Pinho
F
10
I. Stoica
↑ 56'
F
11
Jovane
↑ 46'
F
14
Bernardo Schappo
↑ 18' 🟨 26'
D
18
J. Meireles
↑ 84'
F
63
A. Sola
M
83
Otavio
D
Nacional 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
2
J. Aurelio
D
34
Leo Santos
🟨 45+4'
D
6
Matheus Dias
D
33
C. Goncalves
🟨 90+7'
D
5
Jose Gomes
⚽ 40'
D
7
Witi
↓ 85'
M
28
Liziero
🎯 40'
M
15
C. Labidi
🟨 90+2'
M
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 85'
M
9
J. Ramirez
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
8
M. Baeza
M
16
A. Nunez
D
17
M. Nourani
↑ 85'
F
18
A. Sousa
M
19
L. Joao
↑ 85'
F
24
L. Vallier
D
26
J. Silva
M
30
Watts
↑ 85' 🟨 87'
M
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
H2H: Estrela vs Nacional
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
0
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
0
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D
04.12.21
H2H
Nacional
Estrela
4
1
L
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
H2H at home: Estrela
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
L
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
23.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
1
W
16.04.22
H2H
Estrela
Nacional
0
0
D