NORWAY 1. DIVISION
13.09.2026 15:00
XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena
Referee: M. Tennoy
Egersund
Match Timeline
Kongsvinger
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
H. Tadesse
Egersund
🔄
24'
H. Kleppa ↔ P. Hovland
Egersund
32'
J. Lynum · Assist: C. Sleveland
Egersund
🔄
46'
E. Nielsen ↔ M. Gjerstrom
Kongsvinger
🔄
46'
A. Chaminta ↔ M. Flores
Kongsvinger
🔄
46'
G. Johnson ↔ L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
🔄
50'
R. Christiansen ↔ P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
51'
L. Langrekken · Assist: P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
🟨
55'
M. Gjerstrom
Kongsvinger
58'
N. Tornvig · Assist: N. Tornvig
Egersund
🔄
67'
B. Baxter ↔ R. Gyamfi
Egersund
🟨
73'
S. R. Michalsen
Egersund
🔄
76'
S. R. Michalsen ↔ O. Toft Noreng
Egersund
🔄
76'
N. Tornvig ↔ H. Hardarson
Egersund
🔄
84'
M. Sande ↔ S. Elmi
Kongsvinger

Egersund vs Kongsvinger Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.77
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
1.77
BTTS Yes
75%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.29
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.10
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Egersund Win 33.8%
Draw 12.3%
Kongsvinger Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Egersund1.71
Kongsvinger2.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Egersund Egersund
WWDLW
47 GF / 49 GA
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WLDWL
78 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
2.69
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
15
BTTS Yes
24
18
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Egersund Egersund 27 matches
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 29 matches
Egersund Statistic Kongsvinger
10 Wins 18
7 Draws 6
10 Losses 5
47 Goals For 78
49 Goals Against 48
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 2.69
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
15 BTTS Yes 24
24 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 16
7 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Egersund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kongsvinger. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Kongsvinger carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Egersund sit 8 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kongsvinger look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kongsvinger having the stronger overall control.

Egersund Analysis

Egersund sit 8 with 27 points after 20 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 33:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 62:33 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Egersund won 0 times, Kongsvinger won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Egersund's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
H2H summary: Egersund wins 0, draws 2, Kongsvinger wins 5

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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