CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Juliska
Referee: K. Roucek
Dukla Praha
Match Timeline
Baník Ostrava
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Dominik Hašek
Dukla Praha
🟨
25'
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré
Dukla Praha
36'
M. Pourzitidis
Baník Ostrava
🟨
43'
Lukas Penxa
Dukla Praha
🟨
45'
Michal Frydrych
Baník Ostrava
🔄
46'
Z. Sehovic ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🟨
54'
Diego Velasquez
Dukla Praha
57'
M. Traore
Baník Ostrava
🔄
60'
M. Traore ↔ B. Diallo
Dukla Praha
🔄
68'
A. Gning ↔ V. Skrkon
Baník Ostrava
🔄
69'
M. Cermak ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
69'
R. Mikus ↔ S. Hindi
Dukla Praha
74'
L. Penxa
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
S. Tijani ↔ M. Hanousek
Dukla Praha
🔄
78'
A. Musak ↔ J. Boula
Baník Ostrava
🔄
78'
S. Plavsic ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ D. Holzer
Baník Ostrava
🔄
87'
O. Kricfalusi ↔ D. Planka
Baník Ostrava

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dukla Praha Win 70.6%
Draw 29.4%
Baník Ostrava Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dukla Praha1.01
Baník Ostrava1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WWDLW
23 GF / 48 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
37 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
14
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
13
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 34 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 40 matches
Dukla Praha Statistic Baník Ostrava
5 Wins 7
11 Draws 10
18 Losses 23
23 Goals For 37
48 Goals Against 60
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
14 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 27
10 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
17 Failed To Score 19
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.83
9.59 Total Shots 12.28
3.44 Corners 5
42.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Baník Ostrava. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dukla Praha expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha sit 14 with 23 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 20:42, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Gilbert (2 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (6 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

With 22 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Baník Ostrava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 25:45, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from V. Jurecka (4 assists), David Planka (4 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Praha won 0 times, Baník Ostrava won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:18 from Dukla Praha's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Dukla Praha wins 0, draws 2, Baník Ostrava wins 5
Stats
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 16
4 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
350 Total passes 271
260 Passes accurate 189
1.01 expected_goals 2.16
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dukla Praha
Formation
Baník Ostrava
H. Backovsky
H. Backovsky
L. Penxa
L. Penxa
D. Hasek
D. Hasek
M. Traore
M. Traore
M. Pourzitidis
M. Pourzitidis
R. Mikus
R. Mikus
D. Velasquez
D. Velasquez
S. Tijani
S. Tijani
Z. Sehovic
Z. Sehovic
D. Gilbert
D. Gilbert
M. Cermak
M. Cermak
M. Jedlicka
M. Jedlicka
M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych
M. Chalus
M. Chalus
K. Pojezny
K. Pojezny
A. Bewene
A. Bewene
A. Musak
A. Musak
O. Kricfalusi
O. Kricfalusi
V. Sinyavskiy
V. Sinyavskiy
S. Plavsic
S. Plavsic
V. Jurecka
V. Jurecka
A. Gning
A. Gning
Dukla Praha 4-4-2
Starting XI
59
H. Backovsky
G
6
L. Penxa
⚽ 74' 🟨 43'
D
18
D. Hasek
🟨 6'
D
22
M. Traore
⚽ 57' ↓ 60'
37
M. Pourzitidis
⚽ 36'
D
10
R. Mikus
↓ 69'
M
5
D. Velasquez
🟨 54'
M
14
S. Tijani
↓ 78'
M
3
Z. Sehovic
↓ 46'
M
15
D. Gilbert
F
19
M. Cermak
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Jagrik
17
T. Pekhart
↑ 69'
F
28
B. Unusic
↑ 46'
7
C. Emeka
8
P. Gaszczyk
M
20
M. Zitny
M
21
S. Hindi
↑ 69'
F
2
L. Kostka
M
25
M. Hanousek
↑ 78'
M
23
J. Svozil
D
30
B. Diallo
↑ 60'
Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
M. Jedlicka
G
17
M. Frydrych
🟨 45'
D
37
M. Chalus
D
6
K. Pojezny
D
34
A. Bewene
M
55
A. Musak
↓ 78'
M
80
O. Kricfalusi
↓ 87'
M
99
V. Sinyavskiy
↓ 87'
M
10
S. Plavsic
↓ 78'
F
15
V. Jurecka
F
12
A. Gning
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Budinsky
G
95
D. Holzer
↑ 87'
M
9
D. Buchta
M
5
J. Boula
↑ 78'
M
66
M. Rusnak
M
25
D. Owusu
M
22
V. Skrkon
↑ 68'
F
18
D. Planka
↑ 87'
M
19
F. Sancl
M
29
J. Pira
↑ 78'
F
2
M. Havran
M
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Hanácká
3
1
W
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
26.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
3
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
2
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Mlada Boleslav
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Plzen
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
05.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Odra Opole
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Zlin
6
2
W
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
H2H: Dukla Praha vs Baník Ostrava
23.05.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
29.11.25
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
3
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
2
L
09.11.24
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
6
0
L
08.02.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
25.08.18
H2H
Baník Ostrava
Dukla Praha
2
0
L
Last matches: Dukla Praha
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
LNZ Cherkasy
1
2
L
11.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Universitatea Cluj
0
0
D
08.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Kisvarda FC
1
0
W
06.12.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Sigma Olomouc
2
2
D
08.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
1
3
L
21.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
30.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Hradec Králové
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Plzen
2
0
W
03.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dukla Praha
23.05.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
03.08.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
2
L
08.02.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
Last matches: Baník Ostrava
18.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
AS Trencin
2
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Miedz Legnica
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
30.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Táborsko
5
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
FK Jablonec
1
4
L
14.03.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Sparta Praha
2
5
L
15.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovan Liberec
0
1
L
01.02.26
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slovácko
2
2
D
22.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Widzew Łódź
2
3
L
18.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Aktobe
3
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Prishtina
2
3
L
14.01.26
Fri
Baník Ostrava
Javor
2
0
W
07.12.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Karviná
0
0
D
22.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
0
1
L
01.11.25
Cze
Baník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
H2H away: Baník Ostrava
23.05.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
W
03.08.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
2
W
08.02.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round