ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
03.11.2026 19:45
Pride Park

Derby vs Norwich Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Norwich Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.04
Norwich1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
16 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
6
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 11 matches
Norwich Norwich 12 matches
Derby Statistic Norwich
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
13 Goals For 16
18 Goals Against 10
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
6 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 5.25
11.5 Total Shots 15.75
4.5 Corners 4.75
43% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Norwich won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Derby's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 5, Norwich wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
W W D W
2 4 3 1 0 7:3 4 10
W W D W
3 5 3 1 1 6:7 -1 10
L D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:8 3 7
L W W D
5 4 2 1 1 7:5 2 7
D W L W
6 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
W W D L
7 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
D L W W
8 4 1 3 0 5:4 1 6
D W D D
9 4 1 3 0 5:4 1 6
W D D D
10 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W W L L L
11 4 2 0 2 6:8 -2 6
L L W W
12 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
W L D D
13 4 1 2 1 8:7 1 5
W D L D
14 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D L W D
15 4 1 2 1 4:5 -1 5
L D D W
16 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
17 5 2 2 1 11:6 5 4
D D W W L
18 4 1 1 2 4:5 -1 4
L L D W
19
Derby Home
4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
W L D L
20 4 0 3 1 6:7 -1 3
L D D D
21 4 1 0 3 5:7 -2 3
L W L L
22 4 1 0 3 5:8 -3 3
L L W L
23 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
W L L L L
24 4 0 2 2 5:10 -5 2
D L L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One