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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
09.12.2026 19:45
Pride Park

Derby vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bristol City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.08
Bristol City1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
17 GF / 28 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
24 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
10
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
8
3.82
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 17 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 19 matches
Derby Statistic Bristol City
3 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 7
17 Goals For 24
28 Goals Against 23
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 7
3.82 Shots On Goal 4.36
12.73 Total Shots 14
5.64 Corners 5.45
49.5% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 4 times, Bristol City won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 4, draws 4, Bristol City wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 5 3 3 19:16 3 18
D W L L W
8 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
9 11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 11 4 3 4 14:14 0 15
D W W L D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23
Derby Home
11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One