VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.50
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.80
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.64
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 88%
Draw 6%
Monagas SC Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Tachira FC1.47
Monagas SC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WWDLW
37 GF / 24 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
17 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
15
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
9
2.83
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 27 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 16 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Statistic Monagas SC
16 Wins 4
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 10
37 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 26
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
15 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
2.83 Shots On Goal 0
7.17 Total Shots 0
3 Corners 0
27.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Tachira FC's more proactive style and Monagas SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monagas SC. Deportivo Tachira FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 24 points compared to Monagas SC in 12 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 24 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 17:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Monagas SC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Monagas SC have collected 11 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Tachira FC won 10 times, Monagas SC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Deportivo Tachira FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Tachira FC wins 10, draws 2, Monagas SC wins 3
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
Last matches: Monagas SC
08.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
1
0
W
04.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Anzoátegui FC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
13.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
H2H: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC
22.02.26
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
W
03.09.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
20.08.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
L
13.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
31.01.25
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
4
W
15.09.24
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
21.03.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
24.09.23
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
18.06.22
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
4
2
W
19.11.21
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
31.10.21
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
1
W
20.11.20
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
26.10.20
H2H
Monagas SC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
W
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
04.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
20.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Trujillanos FC
0
0
D
11.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
The Strongest
1
0
W
29.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Anzoátegui FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Tachira FC
03.09.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
21.03.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
W
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
4
2
W
31.10.21
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
1
W
20.11.20
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
Last matches: Monagas SC
04.08.26
Pri
Monagas SC
UCV
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Zamora FC
1
2
L
18.03.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pri
Monagas SC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
H2H away: Monagas SC
03.09.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
0
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
2
1
L
21.03.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
L
18.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
1
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
4
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
1
L
20.11.20
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.75
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.72
Draw 3.84
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.88
Draw 2.20
Home 2.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.41
Draw 2.62
Home 1.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.26
Over 3.25 2.56
Over 3.5 2.88
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.09
Over 4.5 5.45
Over 4.75 7.10
Over 5.0 8.40
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.90
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 7.70
Under 1.25 5.10
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 1.75 3.28
Under 2.0 2.83
Under 2.25 2.25
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.51
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 3.85
Home 1.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 2.38
Home 1.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.33

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)