ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
Deportivo Riestra
Match Timeline
Boca Juniors
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
B. Sanchez · Assist: A. Alonso
Deportivo Riestra
23'
A. Alonso · Assist: C. Quintana
Deportivo Riestra
38'
A. Diaz · Assist: C. Paz
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda ↔ Angel Romero
Boca Juniors
🔄
46'
A. Velasco ↔ S. Villa
Boca Juniors
🔄
61'
A. Alonso ↔ J. Goitia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
61'
A. Diaz ↔ N. Benegas
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
66'
L. Flores ↔ Miguel Merentiel
Boca Juniors
🔄
66'
K. Zenon ↔ T. Aranda
Boca Juniors
🟨
67'
Milton Celiz
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
69'
B. Sanchez ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
75'
Yonatan Goitia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
75'
M. Delgado ↔ C. Rey Domenech
Boca Juniors
🔄
86'
P. Monje ↔ I. Gariglio
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
86'
F. Mino ↔ N. Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
90+1'
Nicolas Watson
Deportivo Riestra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Riestra Win 27.7%
Draw 4.3%
Boca Juniors Win 68%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Riestra0.49
Boca Juniors1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WLDWL
37 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.39
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
4
BTTS Yes
11
0
Over 2.5
9
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 18 matches
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 28 matches
Deportivo Riestra Statistic Boca Juniors
2 Wins 14
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 6
7 Goals For 37
13 Goals Against 18
0.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
4 BTTS Yes 11
7 Over 1.5 18
0 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 6
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.78
9.69 Total Shots 13.39
4.31 Corners 5.22
38.6% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Boca Juniors's more proactive style and Deportivo Riestra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Riestra expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Boca Juniors in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boca Juniors having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Riestra have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Boca Juniors carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boca Juniors.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

With 11 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Deportivo Riestra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Alonso (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Boca Juniors approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 30 points after 16 outings. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 22:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Miguel Merentiel (5 goals), M. Gimenez (4 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), with creative support from L. Paredes (3 assists), E. Zeballos (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 1 times, Boca Juniors won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2 / Boca Juniors 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Riestra wins 1, draws 1, Boca Juniors wins 1
Stats
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 8
20 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 0
18% Ball Possession 82%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 3
1 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 2
2 Shots outsidebox 11
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
180 Total passes 793
91 Passes accurate 709
1.96 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Riestra
Formation
Boca Juniors
I. Arce
I. Arce
F. Mino
F. Mino
C. Paz
🎯
C. Paz
C. Quintana
🎯
C. Quintana
M. Bracamonte
M. Bracamonte
M. Celiz
M. Celiz
P. Monje
P. Monje
N. Sansotre
N. Sansotre
B. Sanchez
B. Sanchez
A. Diaz
A. Diaz
A. Alonso
🎯
A. Alonso
A. Montero
A. Montero
M. Braida
M. Braida
L. Di Lollo
L. Di Lollo
M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
L. Blanco
L. Blanco
M. Delgado
M. Delgado
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
K. Zenon
K. Zenon
S. Ascacibar
S. Ascacibar
A. Velasco
A. Velasco
L. Flores
L. Flores
Deportivo Riestra 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
I. Arce
G
24
F. Mino
↓ 86'
D
22
C. Paz
🎯 38'
D
2
C. Quintana
🎯 23'
D
36
M. Bracamonte
M
8
M. Celiz
🟨 67'
M
14
P. Monje
↓ 86'
M
15
N. Sansotre
M
10
B. Sanchez
⚽ 7' ↓ 69'
F
11
A. Diaz
⚽ 38' ↓ 61'
F
7
A. Alonso
⚽ 23' 🎯 7' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Arzamendia
G
3
E. Tovo
D
29
A. Graneros
F
27
J. Goitia
↑ 61' 🟨 75'
D
35
A. Stringa
F
6
I. Gariglio
↑ 86'
D
21
T. Gonzalez
↑ 69'
F
9
N. Benegas
↑ 61'
F
16
N. Watson
↑ 86' 🟨 90+1'
M
13
R. Gallo
D
32
G. Flores
F
20
T. Lauro
M
Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Montero
G
27
M. Braida
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
26
M. Pellegrino
D
3
L. Blanco
D
18
M. Delgado
↓ 75'
M
15
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
↓ 46'
M
21
K. Zenon
↓ 66'
M
25
S. Ascacibar
M
20
A. Velasco
↓ 46'
M
19
L. Flores
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Garcia
G
12
L. Brey
G
11
Angel Romero
↑ 46'
F
16
Miguel Merentiel
↑ 66'
F
4
J. Figal
D
22
S. Villa
↑ 46'
F
32
A. Costa
D
23
C. Rey Domenech
↑ 75'
M
24
D. Gorosito
D
42
F. Herrera
D
10
T. Aranda
↑ 66'
M
37
G. Gelini
F
Last matches: Deportivo Riestra
02.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
1
2
L
17.07.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
2
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Cordoba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
0
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
18.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
12.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
0
0
D
02.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Platense
0
0
D
25.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Huracan
0
0
D
16.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
0
1
L
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
1
1
D
29.01.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
Last matches: Boca Juniors
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
H2H: Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
3
0
W
25.01.26
H2H
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Riestra
02.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Instituto Cordoba
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
0
0
D
02.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Platense
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Huracan
0
0
D
16.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
20.05.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Colegiales
0
1
L
03.05.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
22.04.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Sacachispas
1
0
W
08.04.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
All Boys
0
1
L
25.03.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
0
0
D
14.03.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
04.03.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Acassuso
1
4
L
12.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Atlanta
2
1
W
03.02.19
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
03.12.18
Pri
Deportivo Riestra
JJ Urquiza
4
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Riestra
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
3
0
W
Last matches: Boca Juniors
02.08.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
2
D
17.07.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
29.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
H2H away: Boca Juniors
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
3
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W D
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D L L W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W W L D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W W L W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L D L W D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W D L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D L W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L W D W
Knockout Phase