COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
13.09.2026 19:00
Santiago de las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.26
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.6%
1.78
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
2.26
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.9%
1.91
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 27.2%
Draw 9.2%
Bucaramanga Win 63.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira0.86
Bucaramanga1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
18 GF / 38 GA
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WLDWL
34 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
3.24
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 25 matches
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 26 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Bucaramanga
2 Wins 7
10 Draws 12
13 Losses 7
18 Goals For 34
38 Goals Against 28
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
10 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 8
3.24 Shots On Goal 4
8.92 Total Shots 12.6
2.36 Corners 4.16
44% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bucaramanga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 23 points while Deportivo Pereira sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bucaramanga. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bucaramanga in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bucaramanga having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Quiñones (4 goals), J. Monroy (3 goals), M. Pérez (3 goals), with creative support from Walmer Pacheco (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), J. Bermúdez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bucaramanga Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Bucaramanga have collected 23 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Pons (8 goals), Emerson Batalla (7 goals), Fabián Sambueza (5 goals), with creative support from Fabián Sambueza (4 assists), Emerson Batalla (3 assists), Kevin Londoño (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 3 times, Bucaramanga won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1 / Bucaramanga 3-4-3
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 3, draws 5, Bucaramanga wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D L D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W D D L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D D L D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D D D W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L L D L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L W D D
Post season qualification