ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
22.08.2026 18:30
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Defensores De Belgrano
Match Timeline
Almirante Brown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
34'
T. Villoldo ↔ P. Velurtas
Almirante Brown
42'
M. Zanotti · Assist: L. Jara
Almirante Brown
🔄
59'
J. Ardaiz ↔ D. Garcia
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
59'
A. Benitez ↔ F. Tcherkaski
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
62'
R. Gonzalez ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
62'
M. Zanotti ↔ G. Flores
Almirante Brown
🔄
70'
I. Gutierrez ↔ P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
71'
L. Jara ↔ J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
71'
L. Pascual ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
76'
E. Aguirre ↔ L. Ciccolini
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
76'
M. Rodriguez ↔ L. Rodriguez
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
86'
L. Gigli
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
89'
G. Flores
Almirante Brown
90'
M. Santiago
Almirante Brown

Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.4%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensores De Belgrano Win 45.7%
Draw 6.6%
Almirante Brown Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores De Belgrano0.66
Almirante Brown0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 24 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 25 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Statistic Almirante Brown
5 Wins 10
11 Draws 8
8 Losses 7
16 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 16
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
9 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 14
11 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Almirante Brown's more proactive style and Defensores De Belgrano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control. Almirante Brown carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 38 points while Defensores De Belgrano sit 13 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almirante Brown. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Defensores De Belgrano have collected 25 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 16:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Placed 4 with 38 points from 24 outings, Almirante Brown continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensores De Belgrano won 9 times, Almirante Brown won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from Defensores De Belgrano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Defensores De Belgrano wins 9, draws 3, Almirante Brown wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation