CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dalian Zhixing Win 88%
Draw 6%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dalian Zhixing1.59
Qingdao Jonoon1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WWDLW
37 GF / 44 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WLDWL
32 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
17
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
14
4.56
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 27 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 24 matches
Dalian Zhixing Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
11 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
12 Losses 15
37 Goals For 32
44 Goals Against 46
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
17 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 7
4.56 Shots On Goal 3.83
13.4 Total Shots 12.71
5.72 Corners 4.21
46.3% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Qingdao Jonoon. Dalian Zhixing arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 37 points compared to Qingdao Jonoon in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Qingdao Jonoon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dalian Zhixing expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Qingdao Jonoon in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Jonoon having the stronger overall control.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Dalian Zhixing come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 37 points from 25 matches. The record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 36:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nicolae Stanciu (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), Lü Zhuoyi (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolae Stanciu (2 assists), Isnik Alimi (1 assists), Lü Zhuoyi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 24 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:46, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Malcom Edjouma (3 goals), Song Wenjie (1 goals), Chuangyi Lin (1 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (2 assists), Malcom Edjouma (1 assists), Yonghao Jin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Zhixing won 1 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Dalian Zhixing's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Dalian Zhixing wins 1, draws 1, Qingdao Jonoon wins 1
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
28.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
23.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
19.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
15.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
08.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
31.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
Last matches: Qingdao Jonoon
23.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
14.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
1
3
L
08.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
L
02.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
0
2
L
25.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Tianjin Teda
0
2
L
17.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
1
5
L
14.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
05.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
26.06.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
W
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
1
L
20.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
2
4
L
10.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Wuhan Three Towns
3
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
3
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
4
1
W
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
H2H: Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
10.05.26
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
02.04.25
H2H
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
28.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
08.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
H2H at home: Dalian Zhixing
03.08.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
W
Last matches: Qingdao Jonoon
23.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
14.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
1
3
L
02.08.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Qingdao Youth Island
0
2
L
17.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Henan Jianye
1
5
L
14.07.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
2
4
L
06.05.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Wuhan Three Towns
3
1
W
22.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Shanghai Shenhua
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
H2H away: Qingdao Jonoon
03.08.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
2
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 25 11 9 5 49:33 16 37
D D W W W
3 25 11 4 10 36:41 -5 37
D W D L W
4 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
5 25 13 3 9 45:42 3 36
W L W W W
6 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
7 25 10 7 8 40:33 7 32
W W D W W
8 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
9 25 11 5 9 49:45 4 28
L W L W W
10 25 8 3 14 33:44 -11 27
L D W L W
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation