BRAZIL › SERIE A
15.03.2026 23:30
Governador Magalhães Pinto
Referee: L. Torezin
Cruzeiro
Match Timeline
Vasco DA Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Christian · Assist: Kaiki
Cruzeiro
🟨
45+4'
Andrés Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
⚽
52'
Cauan Barros · Assist: Cuiabano
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
54'
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
⚽
54'
Cauan Barros
Vasco DA Gama
VAR
58'
Cauan Barros
Vasco DA Gama
🟥
59'
Cauan Barros
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
60'
Christian ↔ K. Arroyo
Cruzeiro
🔄
61'
Lucas Silva ↔ N. Villarreal
Cruzeiro
🔄
61'
David ↔ Lucas Piton
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
62'
Andres Gomez ↔ J. Rodriguez
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
62'
N. Moreira ↔ Brenner
Vasco DA Gama
⚽
70'
N. Villarreal · Assist: Chico
Cruzeiro
🔄
83'
Hugo Moura ↔ JP
Vasco DA Gama
⚽
86'
Brenner · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
88'
L. Villalba ↔ Wanderson
Cruzeiro
🔄
88'
Tche Tche ↔ Lucas Freitas
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
90'
Brenner
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
90+1'
William Furtado ↔ Kaua Moraes
Cruzeiro
🔄
90+1'
Matheus Henrique ↔ Japa
Cruzeiro
⚽
90'
Japa · Assist: Kaua Moraes
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.04
Vasco DA Gama1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WWDLW
4 GF / 11 GA
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
3.8
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 5 matches
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 5 matches
Cruzeiro Statistic Vasco DA Gama
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
4 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 7
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
3.8 Shots On Goal 6
13.8 Total Shots 20.4
6.2 Corners 7.6
54% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 5 times, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 5, draws 6, Vasco DA Gama wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B