Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
51%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
33 matches
Flamengo
33 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 21 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 3 |
| 45 | Goals For | 68 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 5.97 |
| 13.77 | Total Shots | 15.83 |
| 4.9 | Corners | 4.52 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Flamengo's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flamengo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Cruzeiro come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 33 points after 22 matches. The return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 30:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kaio Jorge (6 goals), Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Fagner (4 assists), Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 42 points from 21 games, Flamengo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 39:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro (12 goals), Samuel Lino (5 goals), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Bruno Henrique (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 2 times, Flamengo won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:23 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48:21 | 27 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|