Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.31
Bahia1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro
WWDLW
35 GF / 34 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
15
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
12
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.76
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
26 matches
Bahia
23 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 34 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 13.63 | Total Shots | 13.1 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 6 times, Bahia won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 6, draws 6, Bahia wins 3
Last matches: Cruzeiro
12.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
H2H: Cruzeiro vs Bahia
10.05.26
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
W
15.09.25
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
W
18.04.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
23.06.24
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
4
1
L
25.10.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
W
10.06.23
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
23.07.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
03.11.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
20.07.19
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
02.12.18
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
19.08.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
17.09.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
W
09.06.17
H2H
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
0
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
25.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
1
1
D
06.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cruzeiro
18.04.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
25.10.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
W
23.07.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
W
03.11.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
19.08.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
17.09.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
18.04.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
25.10.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
3
0
L
23.07.22
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
L
03.11.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
19.08.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
1
D
17.09.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Bahia
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B