BRAZIL SERIE A
04.11.2026 21:00

Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.31
Bahia1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WWDLW
48 GF / 45 GA
Bahia Bahia
WLDWL
43 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
22
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
14
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 35 matches
Bahia Bahia 29 matches
Cruzeiro Statistic Bahia
15 Wins 12
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 7
48 Goals For 43
45 Goals Against 35
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
22 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.7
14 Total Shots 14.44
4.76 Corners 5.56
54.4% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 6 times, Bahia won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 6, draws 6, Bahia wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 25 15 6 4 50:21 29 51
W W L W W
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5
Bahia Away
25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 25 6 7 12 27:39 -12 25
L D D L L
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B