Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.22
Atletico Paranaense1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
24 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
25 matches
Atletico Paranaense
19 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 24 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.83 |
| 13.63 | Total Shots | 12.22 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 5 times, Atletico Paranaense won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 5, draws 4, Atletico Paranaense wins 6
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
09.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
3
L
29.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
2
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
2
3
L
25.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
1
0
W
H2H: Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
3
0
L
26.06.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
0
W
30.11.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
29.07.23
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
07.11.19
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
27.07.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
10.11.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
22.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
16.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
17.05.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
1
2
W
05.11.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
13.07.17
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
0
2
W
29.10.16
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
1
0
L
11.07.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
3
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
25.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
1
1
D
06.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cruzeiro
26.06.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
0
W
30.11.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
27.07.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
22.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
16.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
05.11.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
11.07.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
09.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
2
3
L
25.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
1
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Paranaense
26.06.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
0
L
30.11.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
27.07.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
W
22.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
L
16.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
05.11.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
L
11.07.16
H2H
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
0
3
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B