Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
44.6%
|
4.46 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.04 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.1%
|
1.24 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
17.00 |
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
35 matches
Atletico Paranaense
27 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 13 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 48 | Goals For | 38 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.52 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 12.08 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Cruzeiro come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Paranaense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control.
Cruzeiro come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 39 points after 24 matches. The return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 34:33, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kaio Jorge (6 goals), Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Fagner (4 assists), Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Atletico Paranaense come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 44 points after 24 matches. With 13 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kevin Viveros (16 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), João Cruz (4 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 5 times, Atletico Paranaense won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|