Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
16 matches
Atletico-MG
13 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 20 | Goals For | 14 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 4.46 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 14.23 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico-MG. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico-MG in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico-MG having the stronger overall control. Cruzeiro come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
From their first 13 matches, Cruzeiro have collected 16 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 17:21 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Christian (5 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), Kaio Jorge (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Pereira (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico-MG sit 15 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 14:19 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Victor Hugo (3 goals), Cuello (2 goals), Dudu (2 goals), with creative support from Hulk (3 assists), Victor Hugo (1 assists), Cuello (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 5 times, Atletico-MG won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Cruzeiro
2
4
6
1
6
1
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Remo
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Santos
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
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| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
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| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
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| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
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| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
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| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
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| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
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| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
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| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
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| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
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| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
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| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
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