25.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Girona vs Albacete Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Girona Win 73.4%
Draw 7.7%
Albacete Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona1.63
Albacete1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Girona Girona
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Albacete Albacete
WLDWL
10 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
10
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Girona Girona 12 matches
Albacete Albacete 12 matches
Girona Statistic Albacete
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
22 Goals For 10
20 Goals Against 16
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
10 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
5.5 Shots On Goal 3.83
14.5 Total Shots 10.67
4 Corners 5.17
48.8% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Girona's more proactive style and Albacete's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Albacete arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Girona arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 7 points compared to Albacete in 21 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Albacete. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Girona expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Albacete in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Albacete having the stronger overall control.

Girona Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Girona have collected 7 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Asprilla (3 goals), Fran Beltrán (1 goals), Abel Ruiz (1 goals), with creative support from Fran Beltrán (1 assists), Abel Ruiz (1 assists), P. Gazzaniga (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete sit 21 with 1 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:8 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Victor San Bartolome (1 goals), D. Bernabeu (1 goals), Higinio Marín (1 goals), with creative support from Agus Medina (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Girona won 2 times, Albacete won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Girona's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Girona 4-4-2 / Albacete 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Girona wins 2, draws 1, Albacete wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 5 0 1 12:4 8 15
W W W W W
3 6 4 1 1 8:2 6 13
W W D W L
4 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W L W W L
5 5 3 1 1 7:6 1 10
W D L W W
6 6 3 1 2 5:4 1 10
W L L W W
7 6 3 1 2 7:8 -1 10
L W D L W
8 5 3 0 2 8:4 4 9
W W L L W
9 5 2 2 1 4:1 3 8
W D W L D
10 5 2 2 1 8:6 2 8
W D D L W
11 6 2 2 2 8:7 1 8
L W D D W
12 5 2 2 1 6:5 1 8
D L W W D
13 5 2 2 1 4:4 0 8
L W W D D
14 5 2 2 1 3:3 0 8
L D W W D
15 5 2 1 2 7:8 -1 7
L W L W D
16 6 2 0 4 9:13 -4 6
W L L L W
17 6 1 2 3 4:8 -4 5
L W D L D
18 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
L W D L L
19 6 0 3 3 6:9 -3 3
L L L D D
20 6 1 0 5 9:13 -4 3
L L L L L
21 6 0 1 5 4:10 -6 1
L D L L L
22 5 0 0 5 2:15 -13 0
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation