BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Referee: Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil
Criciuma
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Benjamín Borasi
Nautico Recife
🟨
30'
Gustavo Henrique
Nautico Recife
🟨
40'
Matheus Ribeiro
Nautico Recife
🔄
45'
Matheus Ribeiro ↔ Betão
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Gustavo Henrique ↔ Wanderson
Nautico Recife
🟨
48'
Betão
Nautico Recife
🔄
59'
Eduardo Biasi ↔ Nicolas
Criciuma
🔄
67'
Waguininho ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
68'
Rómulo Otero ↔ Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma
🔄
68'
Derek Freitas ↔ Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
68'
Samuel ↔ Auremir
Nautico Recife
🔄
82'
Luciano Castan ↔ Hiago Alves
Criciuma
🔄
82'
Guilherme Lobo ↔ Ronald
Criciuma
🟨
90'
Wenderson
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 83.3%
Draw 8.3%
Nautico Recife Win 8.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.23
Nautico Recife1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
9
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
8
3.68
Shots on Goal
4.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 19 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 19 matches
Criciuma Statistic Nautico Recife
11 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
2 Losses 9
23 Goals For 24
12 Goals Against 24
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
9 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 8
3.68 Shots On Goal 4.32
12.95 Total Shots 16
6.05 Corners 5.95
50.9% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Criciuma's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Criciuma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 36 points compared to Nautico Recife in 14 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Criciuma Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 36 points from 18 games, Criciuma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife sit 14 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:23, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 8 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from Criciuma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-3 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 8, draws 3, Nautico Recife wins 1
Stats
Criciuma Criciuma
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 0
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
355 Total passes 287
272 Passes accurate 186
1.55 expected_goals 0.70
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Criciuma
Formation
Nautico Recife
Pedro
Pedro
César Martins
César Martins
Rodrigo Fagundes
Rodrigo Fagundes
Luciano Castan
Luciano Castan
Willean Lepo
Willean Lepo
Eduardo Biasi
Eduardo Biasi
Guilherme Lobo
Guilherme Lobo
Marcelo Hermes
Marcelo Hermes
Rómulo Otero
Rómulo Otero
Waguininho
Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Muriel
Muriel
Arnaldo
Arnaldo
Léo Índio
Léo Índio
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Matheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
Samuel
Samuel
Wenderson
Wenderson
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Derek Freitas
Derek Freitas
Kauã Maranhão
Kauã Maranhão
Criciuma 3-4-3
Starting XI
70
Pedro
G
37
César Martins
D
3
Rodrigo Fagundes
D
4
Luciano Castan
↓ 82'
D
97
Willean Lepo
M
5
Eduardo Biasi
↓ 59'
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
↓ 82'
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
91
Rómulo Otero
↓ 68'
F
13
Waguininho
↓ 67'
F
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
Substitutes
9
Nicolas
↑ 59'
F
10
Jhonata Robert
↑ 67'
F
77
Diego Gonçalves
↑ 68'
F
31
Hiago Alves
↑ 82'
M
14
Ronald
↑ 82'
M
1
Alisson
G
34
Bruno Alves
D
11
Romarinho
F
50
Thiaguinho
M
41
Jean Irmer
M
21
João Carlos
F
88
Cauê
F
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel
G
2
Arnaldo
D
15
Léo Índio
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
↓ 45' 🟨 40'
D
41
Samuel
↓ 68'
M
8
Wenderson
🟨 90'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
↓ 20'
M
20
Jean Carlos
M
72
Derek Freitas
↓ 68'
M
19
Kauã Maranhão
F
Substitutes
24
Benjamín Borasi
↑ 20'
M
3
Betão
↑ 45' 🟨 48'
D
34
Wanderson
↑ 46'
D
93
Reginaldo
↑ 68'
D
5
Auremir
↑ 68'
M
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
37
Juan Rikelme
D
11
Victor Andrade
F
16
Luiz Claudio
F
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
2
1
W
23.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
1
0
W
14.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
H2H: Criciuma vs Nautico Recife
26.07.26
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
22.03.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
W
07.10.22
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
29.06.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
1
1
D
14.11.17
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
29.07.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
1
2
W
20.08.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
W
14.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
01.09.15
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
20.05.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
2
0
L
10.11.13
H2H
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
W
14.08.13
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
H2H at home: Criciuma
26.07.26
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
07.10.22
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
14.11.17
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
14.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
01.09.15
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.08.13
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
26.07.26
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
07.10.22
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
14.11.17
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
14.05.16
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
L
01.09.15
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
L
14.08.13
H2H
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
3
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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