Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
19 matches
Nautico Recife
19 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 9 |
| 23 | Goals For | 24 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.32 |
| 12.95 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 6.05 | Corners | 5.95 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 59.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Criciuma's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Criciuma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 36 points compared to Nautico Recife in 14 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 1 place with 36 points from 18 games, Criciuma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Nautico Recife sit 14 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:23, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 8 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from Criciuma's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Criciuma
5
4
8
5
3
3
Lineups
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Criciuma
Home
|
24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|