BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Rei Pelé
Referee: L. Torezin
CRB
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Wenderson
Nautico Recife
VAR
31'
Danielzinho
CRB
34'
Mikael
CRB
🔄
46'
Matheus Ribeiro ↔ Arnaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
60'
Todinho ↔ Derek Freitas
Nautico Recife
🔄
63'
Diogo Hereda ↔ Kevin
CRB
🔄
65'
Victor Andrade ↔ Kauã Maranhão
Nautico Recife
🔄
72'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Samuel
Nautico Recife
🔄
72'
Gustavo Henrique ↔ Luiz Paulo
Nautico Recife
🔄
75'
Thiaguinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
75'
Danielzinho ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB
81'
Kauã Maranhão · Assist: Jean Carlos
Nautico Recife
83'
Crystopher · Assist: Dadá Belmonte
CRB
🟨
85'
Dadá Belmonte
CRB
🔄
85'
Dadá Belmonte ↔ Patrick De Lucca
CRB
🔄
85'
Bressan ↔ Lyncon
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 50.8%
Draw 15.3%
Nautico Recife Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.41
Nautico Recife1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
6
5.47
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 17 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 17 matches
CRB Statistic Nautico Recife
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
26 Goals For 21
31 Goals Against 21
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
5.47 Shots On Goal 4.47
16.29 Total Shots 16.53
5.12 Corners 6
52% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. Nautico Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CRB Analysis

With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 15, CRB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 26:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mikael (9 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (3 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), Diogo Hereda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 21 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 21:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Nautico Recife won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from CRB's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 6, draws 6, Nautico Recife wins 3
Stats
CRB CRB
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 4
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
360 Total passes 467
296 Passes accurate 385
2.64 expected_goals 0.32
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CRB
Formation
Nautico Recife
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Diogo Hereda
Diogo Hereda
Bressan
Bressan
Fábio Alemão
Fábio Alemão
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Crystopher
Crystopher
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Mikael
Mikael
Dadá Belmonte
🎯
Dadá Belmonte
Muriel
Muriel
Matheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
Léo Índio
Léo Índio
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Wenderson
Wenderson
Reginaldo
Reginaldo
Jean Carlos
🎯
Jean Carlos
Victor Andrade
Victor Andrade
Todinho
Todinho
CRB 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
G
32
Diogo Hereda
↓ 63'
D
22
Bressan
↓ 85'
D
27
Fábio Alemão
D
36
Lucas Lovat
D
8
Crystopher
⚽ 83'
M
21
Pedro Castro
M
10
Danielzinho
↓ 75'
M
17
Thiaguinho
↓ 75'
F
28
Mikael
⚽ 34'
F
97
Dadá Belmonte
🎯 83' ↓ 85' 🟨 85'
F
Substitutes
2
Kevin
↑ 63'
D
11
Guilherme Pato
↑ 75'
F
18
Geovane
↑ 75'
M
33
Lyncon
↑ 85'
D
45
Patrick De Lucca
↑ 85'
M
23
Fábio Henrique
G
6
Reverson
D
14
Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
D
77
Leo Campos
D
20
Vinicius Barata
F
16
Guilherme Kauan
F
7
Douglas Baggio
F
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel
G
14
Matheus Ribeiro
↓ 46'
D
15
Léo Índio
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
↓ 72'
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
27
Luiz Felipe
↓ 72'
M
8
Wenderson
🟨 20'
M
93
Reginaldo
M
20
Jean Carlos
🎯 81'
M
11
Victor Andrade
↓ 65'
M
29
Todinho
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
2
Arnaldo
↑ 46'
D
72
Derek Freitas
↑ 60'
F
19
Kauã Maranhão
⚽ 81' ↑ 65'
F
60
Luiz Paulo
↑ 72'
D
41
Samuel
↑ 72'
M
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
13
Gabriel Índio
D
34
Wanderson
D
37
Juan Rikelme
D
5
Auremir
M
18
Halan
M
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
Last matches: Nautico Recife
28.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
2
1
W
23.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
1
0
W
14.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
H2H: CRB vs Nautico Recife
16.07.26
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
24.03.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
2
2
D
10.08.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
2
1
L
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
28.09.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
3
W
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
16.08.20
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
L
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
01.07.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
0
1
W
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
09.07.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
3
W
14.11.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
Last matches: CRB
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
16.07.26
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
L
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
16.07.26
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
W
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
W
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7
CRB Home
24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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