BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 42.5%
Draw 16.6%
Nautico Recife Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.41
Nautico Recife1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
21 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
6
5.53
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 17 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 17 matches
CRB Statistic Nautico Recife
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
26 Goals For 21
31 Goals Against 21
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
5.53 Shots On Goal 4.47
16.29 Total Shots 16.53
5.12 Corners 6
52% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Nautico Recife's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Nautico Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 15 with 19 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 24:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mikael (8 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (2 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), Hereda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife sit 12 with 21 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 21:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vinícius (4 goals), Dodô (2 goals), Victor Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Nautico Recife won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from CRB's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-3-3 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 6, draws 6, Nautico Recife wins 3
Last matches: CRB
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
Last matches: Nautico Recife
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: CRB vs Nautico Recife
24.03.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
2
2
D
10.08.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
2
1
L
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
28.09.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
3
W
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
16.08.20
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
L
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
01.07.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
0
1
W
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
09.07.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
3
W
14.11.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
1
D
08.08.15
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: CRB
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
L
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
08.08.15
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
27.04.22
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
2
W
30.06.21
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
21.11.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
04.03.20
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
3
W
17.10.17
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
05.11.16
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
L
08.08.15
H2H
CRB
Nautico Recife
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15
CRB Home
17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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