Coritiba vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Coritiba Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coritiba1.32
Gremio1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coritiba
WWDLW
33 GF / 33 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
33 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
14
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.58
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
25 matches
Gremio
27 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 33 | Goals For | 33 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 10.8 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 3.48 | Corners | 4.42 |
| 39.4% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 5 times, Gremio won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Coritiba's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Coritiba 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Coritiba wins 5, draws 3, Gremio wins 7
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48:21 | 27 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Home
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Away
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B