Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
60.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
20 matches
Cruzeiro
28 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 37 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.4 | Shots On Goal | 4.62 |
| 10.25 | Total Shots | 13.69 |
| 3.35 | Corners | 5 |
| 39.6% | Ball Possession | 55.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Coritiba sit 8 with 26 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 19 matches, Cruzeiro have collected 27 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:29 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kaio Jorge (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), Matheus Pereira (4 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), Fagner (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 6 times, Cruzeiro won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Coritiba's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Coritiba
2
4
9
8
8
8
Lineups
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Coritiba
Home
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|