Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
44.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
30 matches
Cruzeiro
31 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 12 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 33 | Goals For | 42 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.41 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 13.72 |
| 4.41 | Corners | 4.76 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 55.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Corinthians's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cruzeiro. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 21 matches, Corinthians have collected 29 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 22:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Yuri Alberto (3 goals), André Luiz (3 goals), Rodrigo Garro (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), André Luiz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Cruzeiro sit 7 with 30 points after 21 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 27:30 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), Fagner (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 3 times, Cruzeiro won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Corinthians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Corinthians
Home
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|