🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: L. Hernandez
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
New York City FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
N. Mercau
New York City FC
🟨
40'
Tayvon Gray
New York City FC
🔄
55'
B. Traore ↔ H. Wolf
New York City FC
🔄
55'
M. Jones ↔ Talles Magno
New York City FC
🟨
57'
Jamal Thiaré
Columbus Crew
🟨
60'
Maximilian Arfsten
Columbus Crew
🔄
63'
T. Karumanchi ↔ H. Picard
Columbus Crew
🔄
64'
M. Amundsen ↔ S. Moreira
Columbus Crew
70'
A. Ojeda · Assist: Talles Magno
New York City FC
🔄
74'
S. Bangoura ↔ D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
🔄
75'
J. Thiare ↔ D. Gazdag
Columbus Crew
🔄
77'
J. Shore ↔ K. Pierre
New York City FC
🟨
82'
Taha Habroune
Columbus Crew
🔄
83'
N. Akhundzade ↔ C. Adams
Columbus Crew
🔄
83'
N. Cavallo ↔ M. Carrizo
New York City FC
VAR
90'
Chase Adams
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+5'
James Sands
New York City FC
90'
D. Gazdag
Columbus Crew

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 59.8%
Draw 11.9%
New York City FC Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.42
New York City FC1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
26 GF / 26 GA
New York City FC New York City FC
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
10
4.07
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 18 matches
New York City FC New York City FC 20 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic New York City FC
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
26 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 28
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
4.07 Shots On Goal 5
11.53 Total Shots 11.47
5.4 Corners 3.6
57.3% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with New York City FC's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York City FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 16 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Rossi (6 goals), W. Abou Ali (5 goals), M. Arfsten (4 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), H. Picard (2 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

New York City FC Analysis

New York City FC sit 8 with 19 points after 15 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 25:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (10 goals), H. Wolf (5 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), N. Mercau (3 assists), A. Ojeda (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 6 times, New York City FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / New York City FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 6, draws 4, New York City FC wins 5
Stats
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
New York City FC New York City FC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 0
7 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
584 Total passes 411
519 Passes accurate 344
1.67 expected_goals 1.41
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Columbus Crew
Formation
New York City FC
P. Schulte
P. Schulte
M. Farsi
M. Farsi
S. Zawadzki
S. Zawadzki
R. Camacho
R. Camacho
M. Amundsen
M. Amundsen
N. Akhundzade
N. Akhundzade
T. Karumanchi
T. Karumanchi
S. Bangoura
S. Bangoura
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
J. Thiare
J. Thiare
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
M. Freese
M. Freese
T. Gray
T. Gray
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
J. Sands
J. Sands
N. Cavallo
N. Cavallo
J. Shore
J. Shore
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
N. Mercau
N. Mercau
A. Perea
A. Perea
M. Jones
M. Jones
B. Traore
B. Traore
Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Starting XI
28
P. Schulte
G
23
M. Farsi
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
4
R. Camacho
D
18
M. Amundsen
↓ 64'
D
90
N. Akhundzade
↓ 83'
M
50
T. Karumanchi
↓ 63'
M
17
S. Bangoura
↓ 74'
M
27
M. Arfsten
🟨 60'
M
19
J. Thiare
↓ 75' 🟨 57'
F
16
T. Habroune
🟨 82'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Hagen
G
45
O. Presthus
D
46
C. Adams
↑ 83'
31
S. Moreira
↑ 64'
D
8
D. Gazdag
⚽ 90' ↑ 75'
M
7
D. Chambost
↑ 74'
M
14
A. Sejdic
M
30
H. Picard
↑ 63'
M
12
C. Ruvalcaba
D
New York City FC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
49
M. Freese
G
24
T. Gray
🟨 40'
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
6
J. Sands
🟨 90+5'
D
2
N. Cavallo
↓ 83'
D
32
J. Shore
↓ 77'
M
26
A. Ojeda
⚽ 70'
M
7
N. Mercau
⚽ 28'
M
8
A. Perea
M
88
M. Jones
↓ 55'
M
9
B. Traore
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Romero
G
17
H. Wolf
↑ 55'
F
29
M. Carrizo
↑ 83'
M
23
M. Murray
D
11
Talles Magno
🎯 70' ↑ 55'
F
35
M. Ilenic
D
99
S. Reid
F
87
A. Farnos
F
15
K. Pierre
↑ 77'
M
Last matches: Columbus Crew
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
Last matches: New York City FC
19.08.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
16.08.26
Maj
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
2
3
L
31.07.26
Maj
New York City FC
Toronto FC
1
1
D
25.07.26
Maj
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Nashville SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
CF Montreal
0
1
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Inter Miami
2
3
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
H2H: Columbus Crew vs New York City FC
22.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
20.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
0
W
10.05.26
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
L
17.09.25
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
L
22.03.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
4
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
14.06.24
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
2
3
W
08.07.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
17.06.23
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
06.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
3
2
W
14.05.22
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
2
0
L
30.07.21
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
4
1
L
17.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
2
1
W
23.05.21
H2H
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
1
2
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
22.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
20.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
0
W
22.03.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
4
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
06.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
3
2
W
17.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
2
1
W
Last matches: New York City FC
19.08.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
24.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Nashville SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
CF Montreal
0
1
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
H2H away: New York City FC
22.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
W
20.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
0
L
22.03.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
4
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
1
D
06.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
3
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
2
1
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)