Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
75.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Columbus Crew
18 matches
New York City FC
20 matches
| Columbus Crew | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 31 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.07 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 11.47 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 57.3% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with New York City FC's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York City FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 16 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Rossi (6 goals), W. Abou Ali (5 goals), M. Arfsten (4 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), H. Picard (2 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
New York City FC sit 8 with 19 points after 15 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 25:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (10 goals), H. Wolf (5 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), N. Mercau (3 assists), A. Ojeda (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 6 times, New York City FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Columbus Crew
4
5
6
2
1
1
Lineups
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48:38 | 10 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 33 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48:46 | 2 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35:31 | 4 | 29 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
Away
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27:33 | -6 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | -18 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Columbus Crew
Home
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 20 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|