AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Green Gully Reserve

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54%
Odds 2.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54%
2.56
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Green Gully Win 54%
Draw 6.9%
St. Albans Saints Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Green Gully1.2
St. Albans Saints1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Green Gully Green Gully
WWDLW
20 GF / 49 GA
St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints
WLDWL
28 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
12
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Green Gully Green Gully 24 matches
St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 24 matches
Green Gully Statistic St. Albans Saints
3 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 10
20 Goals For 28
49 Goals Against 42
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
12 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Albans Saints. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward St. Albans Saints having the stronger overall control.

Green Gully Analysis

Green Gully are currently 13 in the standings with 15 points from 23 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 19:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

St. Albans Saints Analysis

St. Albans Saints are currently 11 in the standings with 27 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:41 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Green Gully won 5 times, St. Albans Saints won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Green Gully's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Green Gully wins 5, draws 2, St. Albans Saints wins 4
Last matches: Green Gully
14.08.26
Vic
Green Gully
Oakleigh Cannons
1
4
L
31.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Preston Lions
2
2
D
24.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
0
0
D
17.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
3
L
03.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
W
28.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
2
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Hume City
2
3
L
05.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
0
2
L
30.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
22.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
15.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Melbourne City II
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Oakleigh Cannons
0
5
L
24.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
1
2
L
11.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
1
1
D
28.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
0
4
L
13.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
0
1
L
Last matches: St. Albans Saints
14.08.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Bentleigh Greens
1
1
D
02.08.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
South Melbourne
0
2
L
24.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Hume City
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Avondale
1
1
D
12.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Sunshine Georgies
2
2
D
03.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
26.06.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Melbourne City II
0
2
L
21.06.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Altona Magic
2
1
W
05.06.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Oakleigh Cannons
2
2
D
31.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Preston Lions
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Dandenong City
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Dandenong Thunder
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Bentleigh Greens
4
2
W
24.04.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
South Melbourne
0
4
L
18.04.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Hume City
1
0
W
10.04.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Avondale
2
3
L
28.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
22.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
14.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Melbourne City II
0
5
L
H2H: Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints
08.05.26
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
1
0
L
25.07.25
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
13.04.25
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
1
2
W
11.08.24
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
5
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
4
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
0
2
W
12.05.23
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
15.07.22
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
16.04.22
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
1
1
D
13.08.21
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
0
D
28.02.21
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
0
2
W
16.02.20
H2H
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
4
2
L
Last matches: Green Gully
24.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong City
0
0
D
17.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
10.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
1
3
L
03.07.26
Vic
Green Gully
Bentleigh Greens
3
0
W
05.06.26
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
0
2
L
22.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Heidelberg United
0
1
L
15.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Melbourne City II
1
3
L
01.05.26
Vic
Green Gully
Oakleigh Cannons
0
5
L
24.04.26
Vic
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
4
L
13.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
South Melbourne
0
1
L
06.03.26
Vic
Green Gully
Hume City
1
1
D
20.02.26
Vic
Green Gully
Sunshine Georgies
0
2
L
15.08.25
Vic
Green Gully
Preston Lions
0
1
L
25.07.25
Vic
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
18.07.25
Vic
Green Gully
Heidelberg United
0
3
L
04.07.25
Vic
Green Gully
Melbourne Victory II
4
1
W
27.06.25
Vic
Green Gully
Altona Magic
2
3
L
06.06.25
Vic
Green Gully
Port Melbourne
0
0
D
16.05.25
Vic
Green Gully
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
09.05.25
Vic
Green Gully
Avondale
5
2
W
H2H at home: Green Gully
25.07.25
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
4
0
W
12.05.23
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
15.07.22
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
13.08.21
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
0
D
Last matches: St. Albans Saints
02.08.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
South Melbourne
0
2
L
18.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Avondale
1
1
D
03.07.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
05.06.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Oakleigh Cannons
2
2
D
22.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Dandenong City
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Dandenong Thunder
2
2
D
01.05.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Bentleigh Greens
4
2
W
18.04.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Hume City
1
0
W
28.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Melbourne City II
0
5
L
07.03.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Altona Magic
1
0
W
20.02.26
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Preston Lions
0
3
L
25.07.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Green Gully
2
2
D
27.06.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Port Melbourne
2
0
W
14.06.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Avondale
2
2
D
30.05.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
10.05.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Hume City
2
3
L
03.05.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Dandenong Thunder
2
2
D
25.04.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Preston Lions
1
2
L
07.04.25
Vic
St. Albans Saints
Melbourne Victory II
2
3
L
H2H away: St. Albans Saints
25.07.25
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
4
0
L
12.05.23
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
1
W
15.07.22
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
2
0
L
13.08.21
H2H
Green Gully
St. Albans Saints
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.32
Draw 3.70
Home 2.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.78
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.26
Over 3.5 2.52
Under 2.0 3.50
Under 2.25 2.64
Under 2.5 2.24
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.76
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.48
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 3.60
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.38
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.75
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.29
Draw 3.54
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.79
Draw 2.26
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.61
Home 2.81
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.42
Over 2.5 1.59
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 1.94
Over 3.25 2.19
Over 3.5 2.46
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.72
Over 4.25 4.05
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.45
Over 5.0 7.60
Over 5.5 8.30
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 12.80
Under 1.0 9.30
Under 1.25 6.00
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 1.75 3.88
Under 2.0 3.42
Under 2.25 2.61
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 2.75 1.96
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 3.45
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.38
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.33
Over 4.5 3.90
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 3.5 1.49
Under 4.5 1.18

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W