CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
18.07.2026 11:00
Tongliang Long Stadium
Referee: Yunkun Ma, China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Timeline
Hangzhou Greentown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Y. Wang · Assist: A. Mitrita
Hangzhou Greentown
VAR
23'
Wang Yudong
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
31'
Lucas Possignolo
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
46'
M. Ngadeu ↔ He Xiaoqiang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🟨
58'
Alexander N'Doumbou
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
58'
Zhang Yingkai ↔ Xiang Yuwang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
58'
Liu Jiale ↔ Liang Weipeng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
63'
A. N'Doumbou ↔ M. Tolic
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
70'
Y. Wang ↔ Felippe Cardoso
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
80'
I. Amadou ↔ Du Yuezheng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
80'
Xu Junchi ↔ Fang Hao
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
80'
A. Mitrita ↔ Cheng Jin
Hangzhou Greentown
81'
L. Dimata · Assist: G. Cimpanu
Chongqing Tongliang Long

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 44.6%
Draw 16.5%
Hangzhou Greentown Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.45
Hangzhou Greentown1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WLDWL
29 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
10
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
13
3.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 18 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 20 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Statistic Hangzhou Greentown
7 Wins 7
7 Draws 5
4 Losses 8
22 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 36
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
10 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
3.33 Shots On Goal 5
8.11 Total Shots 14
3.72 Corners 5.56
46.8% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Chongqing Tongliang Long's more proactive style and Hangzhou Greentown's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hangzhou Greentown arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hangzhou Greentown. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chongqing Tongliang Long expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hangzhou Greentown in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hangzhou Greentown having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 28 points after 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 22:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

Hangzhou Greentown approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 20 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 26:31 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alexandru Mitriță (1 goals), Marko Tolić (1 goals), Qianglong Tao (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (1 assists), Wang Yudong (1 assists), Wang Chang (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 1 times, Hangzhou Greentown won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Chongqing Tongliang Long's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Chongqing Tongliang Long 5-4-1 / Hangzhou Greentown 5-3-2
H2H summary: Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 1, draws 1, Hangzhou Greentown wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 25 9 6 10 41:42 -1 28
L W D L L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 25 5 11 9 38:42 -4 21
D D W D L
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation