01.08.2026 17:00
Charleroi
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
I. Balliu
Rayo Vallecano
24'
R. Nteka
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
36'
A. Ousou
Charleroi
🟨
55'
O. Valentin
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
60'
J. Romsaas ↔ P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🔄
60'
A. Colassin ↔ A. Scheidler
Charleroi
🔄
60'
M. Sow ↔ C. Keita
Charleroi
🔄
61'
R. Nteka ↔ Alemao
Rayo Vallecano
61'
F. Perez
Rayo Vallecano
64'
A. Scheidler
Charleroi
🔄
70'
P. Diaz ↔ I. Palazon
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
71'
P. Guiagon ↔ A. Bojang
Charleroi
🔄
71'
A. Bernier ↔ F. Mbemba
Charleroi
🔄
71'
A. Boukamir ↔ I. Cisse
Charleroi
🔄
71'
F. Perez ↔ A. Garcia
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
71'
I. Balliu ↔ J. Vertrouwd
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
77'
A. Ousou ↔ N. Solheid
Charleroi
🔄
77'
U. Lopez ↔ M. Roman
Rayo Vallecano
77'
N. Solheid
Charleroi
🟨
78'
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
83'
Charleroi
Charleroi
🟨
86'
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
90'
Charleroi
Charleroi
90'
N. Solheid
Rayo Vallecano

Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Charleroi Win 31.3%
Draw 21.6%
Rayo Vallecano Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi1.88
Rayo Vallecano1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charleroi Charleroi
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
2 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi Charleroi 5 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2 matches
Charleroi Statistic Rayo Vallecano
1 Wins 0
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 2
11 Goals Against 4
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 0 times, Rayo Vallecano won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Charleroi's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3
H2H summary: Charleroi wins 0, draws 1, Rayo Vallecano wins 1