BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Condá
Referee: P. Zanovelli
Chapecoense-sc
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Ênio
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
19'
Rafael Thyere ↔ Joao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
23'
Y. Bolasie · Assist: Bruno Pacheco
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
30'
Cauê Nascimento Santos
RB Bragantino
VAR
31'
Cauê Nascimento Santos
RB Bragantino
41'
Gabriel
RB Bragantino
🔄
68'
I. Sosa ↔ Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
73'
Lucas Barbosa · Assist: Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
🔄
75'
Everton ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
75'
Marcinho ↔ Italo
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
75'
Victor Caetano ↔ Giovanni Augusto
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
76'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ Fernando Santos
RB Bragantino
🔄
84'
Joao Vitor ↔ Jean Carlos
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
84'
Caue Nascimento ↔ Breno
RB Bragantino
🔄
85'
J. Herrera ↔ Eric Ramires
RB Bragantino
🟨
86'
Bruno Leonardo
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
90+5'
Eric Ramires
RB Bragantino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chapecoense-sc Win 14.3%
Draw 26.1%
RB Bragantino Win 59.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chapecoense-sc1.06
RB Bragantino1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WWDLW
12 GF / 24 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
15 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 12 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 13 matches
Chapecoense-sc Statistic RB Bragantino
1 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
12 Goals For 15
24 Goals Against 15
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
7 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 5.31
12.25 Total Shots 16.46
4 Corners 5.85
41.8% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Bragantino. Chapecoense-sc have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. RB Bragantino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 17 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 20 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Chapecoense-sc Analysis

Chapecoense-sc approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 8 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Eduardo Doma (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), Marcinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

RB Bragantino Analysis

So far, RB Bragantino have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Pitta (4 goals), D. Tchamba (2 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Juninho Capixaba (2 assists), Henry Mosquera (2 assists), I. Pitta (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 1 times, RB Bragantino won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chapecoense-sc 6, RB Bragantino 9
H2H summary: Chapecoense-sc wins 1, draws 1, RB Bragantino wins 3
Stats
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 2
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
447 Total passes 371
359 Passes accurate 281
1.44 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chapecoense-sc
Formation
RB Bragantino
Anderson
Anderson
Rafael Thyere
Rafael Thyere
Bruno Leonardo
Bruno Leonardo
Victor Caetano
Victor Caetano
Everton
Everton
Joao Vitor
Joao Vitor
Camilo Reijers
Camilo Reijers
Bruno Pacheco
🎯
Bruno Pacheco
Enio
Enio
Y. Bolasie
Y. Bolasie
Marcinho
Marcinho
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Alix Vinicius
Alix Vinicius
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques
Caue Nascimento
Caue Nascimento
Gabriel
Gabriel
I. Sosa
I. Sosa
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa
Eduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
I. Pitta
I. Pitta
Chapecoense-sc 3-4-3
Starting XI
98
Anderson
G
15
Rafael Thyere
↓ 19'
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
🟨 86'
D
25
Victor Caetano
↓ 75'
D
26
Everton
↓ 75'
M
5
Joao Vitor
↓ 84'
M
27
Camilo Reijers
M
91
Bruno Pacheco
🎯 23'
M
97
Enio
🟨 7'
F
11
Y. Bolasie
⚽ 23'
F
7
Marcinho
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
1
Rafael Santos
G
20
Jean Carlos
↑ 84'
M
37
W. Clar
D
2
Marcos Vinicius
↑ 75'
D
17
Vinicius Balieiro
M
99
Rafael Carvalheira
F
4
Joao Paulo
↑ 19'
D
77
Italo
↑ 75'
F
10
Giovanni Augusto
↑ 75'
M
18
Neto Pessoa
F
22
Higor Meritao
M
31
Mauricio Garcez
F
RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
Tiago Volpi
G
14
Pedro Henrique
4
Alix Vinicius
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
51
Caue Nascimento
↓ 84' 🟨 30'
D
6
Gabriel
⚽ 41'
M
15
I. Sosa
↓ 68'
M
32
J. Herrera
↓ 85'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
⚽ 73'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
↓ 76'
M
9
I. Pitta
F
Substitutes
1
Cleiton
G
56
Gustavo Reis
7
Eric Ramires
↑ 85' 🟨 90+5'
M
5
Fabinho
M
22
Gustavo Neves
🎯 73' ↑ 68'
M
17
Vinicinho
F
46
Breno
↑ 84'
D
11
Fernando Santos
↑ 76'
F
12
Vanderlan
D
34
A. Hurtado
D
20
Rodriguinho
M
57
Marcelinho
M
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
08.08.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
2
2
D
23.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
0
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
0
4
L
22.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
3
3
D
05.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
Last matches: RB Bragantino
09.08.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
0
0
D
17.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
H2H: Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino
03.05.26
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
11.09.21
H2H
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
W
30.05.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.11.13
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bragantino
1
1
D
24.08.13
H2H
Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
L
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
23.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
1
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
0
4
L
20.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
4
2
W
H2H at home: Chapecoense-sc
03.05.26
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
30.05.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.11.13
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bragantino
1
1
D
Last matches: RB Bragantino
17.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H away: RB Bragantino
03.05.26
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
W
30.05.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
0
3
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 6 2 38:16 22 48
D W L W W
2 21 12 6 3 39:18 21 42
W D D W W
3 22 12 4 6 30:19 11 40
W D W W W
4 22 9 8 5 31:26 5 35
D D D D D
5 22 9 6 7 30:31 -1 33
W W L W D
6 22 8 9 5 29:25 4 33
D D D D W
7 22 8 8 6 24:20 4 32
W D D W W
8 21 9 4 8 26:22 4 31
L D D W W
9 21 8 6 7 35:33 2 30
D W D W L
10 22 8 6 8 27:29 -2 30
W L D L L
11 21 8 5 8 27:27 0 29
D W D W L
12 21 7 5 9 26:25 1 26
L D L L D
13 22 7 5 10 22:33 -11 26
L L L D W
14 21 6 7 8 24:27 -3 25
W D L L W
15 21 6 5 10 24:30 -6 23
L W D W L
16 22 5 8 9 23:27 -4 23
D D L L L
17 21 5 7 9 29:35 -6 22
L D L W L
18 21 5 7 9 23:31 -8 22
D D L L L
19 22 5 7 10 26:36 -10 22
D L W L W
20 21 1 7 13 20:43 -23 10
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Chapecoense-sc 6 missing
-
Bruno Matias
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Robert Conceicao
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Giovanni Augusto
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Italo
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Eduardo Doma
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
Bruno Pacheco
Questionable Inactive
OUT
RB Bragantino 9 missing
-
Fabricio
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
G. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Sant'Anna
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Vanderlan
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Davi Gomes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Juninho Capixaba
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Eduardo Santos
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Tavares
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
H. Mosquera
Questionable Inactive
OUT