BRAZIL SERIE A
18.04.2026 21:30
Arena Condá
Referee: M. Delgado
Chapecoense-sc
Match Timeline
Botafogo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Edenilson · Assist: Alex Telles
Botafogo
14'
Matheus Martins · Assist: Danilo
Botafogo
20'
Edenilson · Assist: Vitinho
Botafogo
🔄
29'
Everton ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
29'
David Antunes ↔ Vinicius Balieiro
Chapecoense-sc
45'
Marcinho · Assist: Y. Bolasie
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
46'
Y. Bolasie ↔ Mauricio Garcez
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
53'
Italo ↔ K. Ramirez
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
59'
Junior Santos ↔ J. Correa
Botafogo
🔄
68'
Joao Vitor ↔ Jean Carlos
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
73'
Edenilson ↔ J. Barrera
Botafogo
🔄
74'
Arthur Cabral ↔ K. Barria
Botafogo
🔄
77'
C. Medina ↔ Allan
Botafogo
80'
Matheus Martins · Assist: J. Correa
Botafogo

Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Chapecoense-sc Win 19.6%
Draw 7.1%
Botafogo Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chapecoense-sc1.28
Botafogo1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WWDLW
10 GF / 18 GA
Botafogo Botafogo
WLDWL
21 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
5
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
9
3
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 10 matches
Botafogo Botafogo 14 matches
Chapecoense-sc Statistic Botafogo
1 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 7
10 Goals For 21
18 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
5 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 4.29
13 Total Shots 11.57
4.3 Corners 3.5
42.3% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Chapecoense-sc have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Botafogo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 13 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Botafogo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Chapecoense-sc Analysis

Chapecoense-sc approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 10 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Eduardo Doma (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), Everton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Bruno Matias, Robert Conceicao, Giovanni Augusto unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Botafogo Analysis

Botafogo sit 11 with 13 points after 10 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Danilo (6 goals), Arthur Cabral (3 goals), Alex Telles (2 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), A. Barboza (2 assists), Danilo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Kaio Pantaleao, J. Correa, Marcal unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, Botafogo won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1 / Botafogo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chapecoense-sc 5, Botafogo 7
H2H summary: Chapecoense-sc wins 4, draws 1, Botafogo wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 24 14 6 4 48:21 27 48
W L W W D
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 24 6 7 11 27:37 -10 25
D D L L W
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B