Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
73.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.7%
|
- |
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chapecoense-sc
10 matches
Botafogo
14 matches
| Chapecoense-sc | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 10 | Goals For | 21 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 11.57 |
| 4.3 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 42.3% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Chapecoense-sc have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Botafogo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 13 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Botafogo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Chapecoense-sc approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 10 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Eduardo Doma (1 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), Everton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Bruno Matias, Robert Conceicao, Giovanni Augusto unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Botafogo sit 11 with 13 points after 10 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Danilo (6 goals), Arthur Cabral (3 goals), Alex Telles (2 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), A. Barboza (2 assists), Danilo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Kaio Pantaleao, J. Correa, Marcal unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, Botafogo won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:14 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.
Chapecoense-sc
3
8
3
5
3
0
Lineups
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
Botafogo
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Home
|
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|