MEXICO › LIGA MX
21.11.2026 23:00
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.49
Toluca1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
18 GF / 12 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
45 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
2.37
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
6
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
14
4.5
Shots on Goal
6.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 11 matches
Toluca Toluca 19 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Toluca
4 Wins 10
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
18 Goals For 45
12 Goals Against 24
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
6 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 6.47
16.2 Total Shots 18.18
5.1 Corners 5.06
46.5% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 7 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:23 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 7, draws 3, Toluca wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 23:12 11 20
D L W W W
2 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W D L W W
3 10 5 3 2 17:10 7 18
L D W W D
4 9 5 2 2 13:8 5 17
W D W W L
5 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W D W L D
6 10 5 2 3 16:17 -1 17
W D L D L
7 10 5 1 4 19:18 1 16
D L W W W
8 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
L D L W L
9 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
L D L W L
10 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W D L L
11 10 3 3 4 15:11 4 12
L D W W D
12 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L D L W L
13 10 3 3 4 14:18 -4 12
W W L L W
14 10 2 5 3 12:15 -3 11
W D L D D
15 10 2 4 4 10:13 -3 10
W L D D D
16 10 3 1 6 10:15 -5 10
W W W L D
17 10 2 2 6 12:20 -8 8
L L L D L
18 10 1 0 9 7:25 -18 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)