MEXICO LIGA MX
21.11.2026 23:00
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.41
Toluca1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
13 GF / 9 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
34 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
5
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
11
3.71
Shots on Goal
5.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 8 matches
Toluca Toluca 15 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Toluca
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
13 Goals For 34
9 Goals Against 16
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
3.71 Shots On Goal 5.77
14.29 Total Shots 16.62
4.43 Corners 4.54
45.4% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 7 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:23 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 7, draws 3, Toluca wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 12:2 10 16
W W W W D
2 6 4 1 1 12:4 8 13
W W D W L
3 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
W L W D W
4 6 4 0 2 9:8 1 12
L W W L W
5 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D W W D W
6 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
D W W W L
8 6 3 1 2 9:9 0 10
L W W D L
9 6 3 0 3 13:10 3 9
L L W W L
10 6 3 0 3 11:11 0 9
W L L L W
11 7 2 2 3 10:8 2 8
W D D L L
12 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
L D D W W
13 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L D L L W
14 6 1 3 2 8:10 -2 6
W D L D D
15 6 1 3 2 6:8 -2 6
D L D W D
16 6 1 2 3 8:10 -2 5
D W L L D
17 6 0 1 5 4:11 -7 1
D L L L L
18 7 0 0 7 3:21 -18 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)