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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.10.2026 17:30
Saputo Stadium

CF Montreal vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 19.9%
Draw 4.4%
Nashville SC Win 75.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.08
Nashville SC1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
46 GF / 71 GA
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WLDWL
80 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.9
2.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
20
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
22
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 35 matches
Nashville SC Nashville SC 42 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Nashville SC
8 Wins 25
7 Draws 11
20 Losses 6
46 Goals For 80
71 Goals Against 31
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
2.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
20 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 16
4 Clean Sheets 20
12 Failed To Score 9
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.89
12.83 Total Shots 12.5
5.07 Corners 5.16
48% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Nashville SC's more proactive style and CF Montreal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 66 points while CF Montreal sit 15 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nashville SC. Nashville SC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 15 with 24 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 35:59 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Owusu (7 goals), D. Ríos (5 goals), M. Longstaff (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (5 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), D. Ríos (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nashville SC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 66 points from 29 games, Nashville SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 63:22, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Mukhtar (10 goals), S. Surridge (8 goals), W. Madrigal (4 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (8 assists), H. Mukhtar (6 assists), A. Najar (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 1 times, Nashville SC won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:18 from CF Montreal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-2-3-1 / Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 1, draws 4, Nashville SC wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 7 3 64:23 41 67
D W W W W
2 30 15 10 5 73:51 22 55
W W W L D
3 30 16 4 10 49:41 8 52
W W L L W
4 30 14 6 10 52:44 8 48
L L W W W
5 30 13 8 9 53:45 8 47
D L W L W
6 30 13 7 10 61:48 13 46
D W W W W
7 30 12 5 13 58:70 -12 41
W D W L L
8 30 10 6 14 39:56 -17 36
L L W L W
9 29 9 9 11 60:70 -10 36
L L W L D
10 30 8 12 10 46:55 -9 36
W D W L L
11 30 10 5 15 46:47 -1 35
W W L W W
12 30 8 10 12 43:41 2 34
D L L D L
13 29 7 12 10 37:51 -14 33
L W L D L
14 30 8 6 16 37:51 -14 30
L W L D W
15 30 6 7 17 36:60 -24 25
D L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)