URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
22.08.2026 14:00
Parque Palermo
Referee: J. Feres
Central Espanol
Match Timeline
Juventud
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
R. Tarragona
Central Espanol
🟨
41'
I. Rodriguez
Central Espanol
🔄
46'
E. Marquez ↔ A. Benitez
Central Espanol
🔄
46'
A. Rodriguez ↔ F. Mimbacas
Juventud
62'
A. Cruz
Juventud
🔄
69'
J. Dellarossa ↔ F. Camarda
Central Espanol
🔄
69'
M. Gonzalez ↔ F. Sosa
Central Espanol
🔄
69'
A. Cruz ↔ B. Arady
Juventud
🔄
69'
G. Pereiro ↔ A. Alaniz
Juventud
🟨
79'
A. Alaniz
Juventud
🔄
81'
L. Fernandez ↔ F. Munoz
Central Espanol
🔄
81'
I. Mendez ↔ S. Sequeira
Central Espanol
🟨
89'
F. Mimbacas
Juventud
🟨
90'
F. Mimbacas
Juventud
🟥
90'
F. Mimbacas
Juventud
🟥
90+1'
I. Rodriguez
Central Espanol
🔄
90+1'
R. Peralta ↔ F. Perez
Juventud

Central Espanol vs Juventud Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Espanol Win 52.6%
Draw 18.7%
Juventud Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Espanol1.3
Juventud1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
Juventud Juventud
WLDWL
34 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
19
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Espanol Central Espanol 24 matches
Juventud Juventud 30 matches
Central Espanol Statistic Juventud
10 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 14
29 Goals For 34
28 Goals Against 43
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 19
14 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4.33
0 Total Shots 13.5
0 Corners 4.33
0% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Central Espanol's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Central Espanol arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 36 points compared to Juventud in 13 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventud.

Central Espanol Analysis

Central Espanol arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 36 points after 23 matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud sit 13 with 24 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 26:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 3 times, Juventud won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Central Espanol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Central Espanol - / Juventud 4-3-3
H2H summary: Central Espanol wins 3, draws 8, Juventud wins 2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 41:21 20 50
W L D W W
2 27 14 7 6 42:26 16 49
W L D W D
3 26 13 10 3 32:19 13 49
W D W D W
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 27 12 6 9 34:33 1 42
L W L D W
6 26 13 2 11 37:33 4 41
W W L L W
7 26 10 9 7 35:24 11 39
D W W W D
8 26 10 6 10 29:32 -3 36
L L L W D
9 26 9 7 10 35:31 4 34
L L L L D
10 27 8 8 11 28:30 -2 32
L D D D D
11 26 8 6 12 29:35 -6 30
W W L D D
12 26 8 6 12 25:34 -9 30
D W D W L
13 26 6 10 10 21:29 -8 28
L D L L W
14 26 7 5 14 18:40 -22 26
D L W W L
15 27 4 12 11 22:36 -14 24
L L D D L
16 26 5 4 17 19:38 -19 19
W L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)