URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Parque Palermo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Espanol Win 52.6%
Draw 18.7%
Juventud Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Espanol1.3
Juventud1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WWDLW
28 GF / 26 GA
Juventud Juventud
WLDWL
34 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
11
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
2.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Espanol Central Espanol 23 matches
Juventud Juventud 30 matches
Central Espanol Statistic Juventud
10 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
7 Losses 14
28 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 43
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
11 BTTS Yes 19
13 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 2.89
0 Total Shots 9
0 Corners 2.89
0% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Central Espanol's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Central Espanol arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 36 points compared to Juventud in 13 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventud.

Central Espanol Analysis

Central Espanol arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 36 points after 23 matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 28:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud sit 13 with 24 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 26:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 3 times, Juventud won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Central Espanol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Central Espanol - / Juventud 4-3-3
H2H summary: Central Espanol wins 3, draws 8, Juventud wins 2
Last matches: Central Espanol
08.08.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Progreso
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
6
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
24.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
Last matches: Juventud
15.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
07.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
H2H: Central Espanol vs Juventud
22.02.26
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
W
03.09.22
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
W
10.06.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
0
0
D
10.11.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
29.07.21
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
1
1
D
24.11.20
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
0
D
28.09.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
07.04.18
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
0
D
02.03.13
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
2
L
02.09.12
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
1
0
L
21.04.12
H2H
Juventud
Central Espanol
1
1
D
19.11.11
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
Last matches: Central Espanol
08.08.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Progreso
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
18.10.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Fenix
2
1
W
06.10.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Atenas
0
1
L
13.09.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Rentistas
1
0
W
19.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
11.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
03.08.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Rampla Juniors
4
1
W
05.07.25
Seg
Central Espanol
Artigas
0
0
D
H2H at home: Central Espanol
10.06.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
0
0
D
10.11.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
28.09.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
02.03.13
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
2
L
19.11.11
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
Last matches: Juventud
07.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
2
1
W
17.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
2
2
D
13.02.26
CON
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
4
3
W
01.11.25
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
20.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
H2H away: Juventud
10.06.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
0
0
D
10.11.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
28.09.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D
01.09.18
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
L
02.03.13
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
2
W
19.11.11
H2H
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
1
D

Standings

Primera: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
2 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
3 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
5 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
8 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
11 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
D L
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
14 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
15 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
16 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)