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19.10.2026 18:30
Municipal de Balaídos

Celta de Vigo II vs Tenerife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.6%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.07 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.4%
1.48 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Celta de Vigo II Win 47%
Draw 24.6%
Tenerife Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta de Vigo II1.38
Tenerife1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Tenerife Tenerife
WLDWL
26 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
5.33
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II 11 matches
Tenerife Tenerife 15 matches
Celta de Vigo II Statistic Tenerife
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 4
16 Goals For 26
16 Goals Against 19
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
5.33 Shots On Goal 3
12.11 Total Shots 10.44
3.67 Corners 4.22
48.9% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta de Vigo II expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Tenerife in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tenerife having the stronger overall control. Celta de Vigo II have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tenerife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Celta de Vigo II Analysis

Celta de Vigo II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 11 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 14:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Marin (5 goals), O. Marcos (2 goals), A. Kibet (2 goals), with creative support from G. Miller (2 assists), A. Marin (1 assists), O. Marcos (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tenerife Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Tenerife have collected 11 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Enric Gallego (4 goals), Iván Chapela (1 goals), C. Gomis (1 goals), with creative support from Iván Chapela (1 assists), Nacho Gil (1 assists), Fabricio (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Celta de Vigo II won 0 times, Tenerife won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Celta de Vigo II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.4%)
Predicted formations: Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3 / Tenerife 4-4-2
H2H summary: Celta de Vigo II wins 0, draws 1, Tenerife wins 1

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 0 2 20:7 13 24
W W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 18:4 14 23
W L D W W
3 10 7 1 2 20:11 9 22
D L W W W
4 10 6 1 3 11:9 2 19
W W W L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:5 7 18
D W D L W
6 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
14 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
15 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
16 10 3 2 5 13:19 -6 11
L L D L L
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
19 10 2 2 6 14:21 -7 8
L L L L L
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 10 0 1 9 6:22 -16 1
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation