BRAZIL SERIE D
30.05.2026 20:00
Ceilândia
Match Timeline
Goiatuba EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Daniel Costa
Goiatuba EC
90'
Cabralzinho
Ceilândia

Ceilândia vs Goiatuba EC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ceilândia Win 32.3%
Draw 24%
Goiatuba EC Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceilândia0.83
Goiatuba EC1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceilândia Ceilândia
WWDLW
7 GF / 8 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceilândia Ceilândia 8 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 8 matches
Ceilândia Statistic Goiatuba EC
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
7 Goals For 11
8 Goals Against 6
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Goiatuba EC's more proactive style and Ceilândia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ceilândia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Goiatuba EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 14 points while Ceilândia sit 5 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Goiatuba EC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ceilândia Analysis

With 7 points from 7 games and a place of 5, Ceilândia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 14 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 10:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Gabriel Silva (3 goals), Thalles (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ceilândia won 0 times, Goiatuba EC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Ceilândia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.1%)
H2H summary: Ceilândia wins 0, draws 1, Goiatuba EC wins 1

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)