BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Ceilândia
Match Timeline
CEOV Operário
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
Gabriel Mineiro
CEOV Operário

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ceilândia Win 100%
Draw 0%
CEOV Operário Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceilândia0.92
CEOV Operário0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceilândia Ceilândia
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
CEOV Operário CEOV Operário
WLDWL
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.6
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceilândia Ceilândia 5 matches
CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 5 matches
Ceilândia Statistic CEOV Operário
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
3 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 7
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CEOV Operário. CEOV Operário arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CEOV Operário having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ceilândia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 7 points compared to CEOV Operário in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ceilândia Analysis

Ceilândia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 7 points after 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cleyton (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

CEOV Operário Analysis

CEOV Operário approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 1 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:7 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Castanha (2 goals), Augusto (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Ceilândia won 3 times, CEOV Operário won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Ceilândia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Ceilândia wins 3, draws 2, CEOV Operário wins 1
Last matches: Ceilândia
28.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
3
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
0
1
L
16.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
2
2
D
13.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
W
Last matches: CEOV Operário
07.06.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
1
5
L
23.05.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Mixto
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
União Rondonópolis
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
União Rondonópolis
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Mixto
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Goiatuba EC
2
2
D
H2H: Ceilândia vs CEOV Operário
09.05.26
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
0
1
W
14.06.23
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
0
D
11.06.23
H2H
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
2
2
D
03.07.22
H2H
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
1
2
W
30.04.22
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
3
0
W
Last matches: Ceilândia
20.06.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Barra
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Água Santa
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goianésia
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Luverdense
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Mixto
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Porto Velho
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
2
3
L
03.05.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Ceilândia
Goiânia
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ceilândia
09.05.26
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
L
14.06.23
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
3
0
W
Last matches: CEOV Operário
07.06.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Mixto
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
União Rondonópolis
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H away: CEOV Operário
09.05.26
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
1
W
14.06.23
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
0
0
D
30.04.22
H2H
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
3
0
L

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)