AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
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Deakin Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Canberra FC Win 51.4%
Draw 10.2%
Canberra Juventus Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canberra FC2.52
Canberra Juventus1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canberra FC Canberra FC
WWDLW
48 GF / 18 GA
Canberra Juventus Canberra Juventus
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
11
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canberra FC Canberra FC 16 matches
Canberra Juventus Canberra Juventus 16 matches
Canberra FC Statistic Canberra Juventus
13 Wins 10
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 6
48 Goals For 34
18 Goals Against 29
3 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Canberra Juventus. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Canberra Juventus having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Canberra FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Canberra Juventus in 5 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Canberra FC Analysis

Canberra FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 16 matches. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:18, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Canberra Juventus Analysis

Canberra Juventus approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 16 outings. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Canberra FC won 1 times, Canberra Juventus won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Canberra FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
H2H summary: Canberra FC wins 1, draws 0, Canberra Juventus wins 0
Last matches: Canberra FC
21.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
5
2
W
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
1
1
D
17.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
2
1
W
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
30.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
3
2
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
11.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
5
1
W
31.03.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
0
3
L
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
09.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Preston Lions
0
0
D
01.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Avondale
1
4
L
26.10.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
1
2
L
Last matches: Canberra Juventus
26.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
0
3
L
21.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra FC
2
5
L
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
2
0
W
04.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
2
0
W
14.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
1
5
L
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
3
2
W
30.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Tuggeranong United
5
0
W
23.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Queanbeyan City
1
3
L
17.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra White Eagles
4
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
1
0
W
02.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
3
5
L
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
3
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
2
1
W
01.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
1
2
L
H2H: Canberra FC vs Canberra Juventus
21.07.26
H2H
Canberra Juventus
Canberra FC
2
5
W
Last matches: Canberra FC
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
01.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Avondale
1
4
L
19.10.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Preston Lions
3
2
W
Last matches: Canberra Juventus
04.07.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Belconnen United
1
0
W
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra Olympic
3
2
W
23.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Queanbeyan City
1
3
L
17.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Canberra White Eagles
4
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Brindabella
1
0
W
02.05.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Monaro Panthers
3
5
L
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
O'Connor Knights
3
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra Juventus
Cooma Tigers FC
3
2
W

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 1 2 48:18 30 40
W W W L D
2 16 13 0 3 56:22 34 39
W W W W W
3 17 11 2 4 47:21 26 35
W D W L D
4 16 11 0 5 37:34 3 33
L W W W W
5 16 10 0 6 34:29 5 30
L L W W W
6 15 8 2 5 32:23 9 26
D D L W W
7 16 5 2 9 34:43 -9 17
D W L L L
8 16 5 1 10 16:31 -15 16
D L W L L
9 16 2 3 11 24:35 -11 9
D L L L W
10 17 2 1 14 14:48 -34 7
W L L L L
11 15 2 0 13 8:46 -38 6
L L L L W