AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
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Deakin Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Canberra FC Win 78.4%
Draw 3.7%
Belconnen United Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canberra FC2.86
Belconnen United1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canberra FC Canberra FC
WWDLW
60 GF / 24 GA
Belconnen United Belconnen United
WLDWL
25 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
3.16
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
2.42
13
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canberra FC Canberra FC 19 matches
Belconnen United Belconnen United 19 matches
Canberra FC Statistic Belconnen United
16 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
2 Losses 14
60 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 46
3.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 2.42
13 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Canberra FC's more proactive style and Belconnen United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Belconnen United. Canberra FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to Belconnen United in 9 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Canberra FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Belconnen United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Canberra FC Analysis

Canberra FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 18 matches. With 15 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 57:22, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Belconnen United Analysis

Belconnen United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 9 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 24:43 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Canberra FC won 8 times, Belconnen United won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:17 from Canberra FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Canberra FC wins 8, draws 2, Belconnen United wins 4
Last matches: Canberra FC
15.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
3
2
W
08.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
4
W
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
4
0
W
21.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
5
2
W
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
1
1
D
17.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
2
1
W
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
30.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
1
W
13.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
3
2
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
11.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
5
1
W
31.03.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
0
3
L
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
Last matches: Belconnen United
16.08.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Olympic
1
3
L
08.08.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Monaro Panthers
0
7
L
01.08.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Cooma Tigers FC
0
1
L
25.07.26
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
1
1
D
11.07.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Tuggeranong United
0
1
L
04.07.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Juventus
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Queanbeyan City
1
2
L
13.06.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Brindabella
4
1
W
10.06.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra White Eagles
1
2
L
03.06.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Tuggeranong United
1
3
L
30.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
1
4
L
23.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Olympic
4
4
D
16.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Monaro Panthers
1
3
L
09.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
02.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
1
2
L
24.04.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Queanbeyan City
1
4
L
15.04.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Brindabella
4
1
W
11.04.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Juventus
1
2
L
28.03.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra White Eagles
1
1
D
10.09.22
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
1
3
L
H2H: Canberra FC vs Belconnen United
30.05.26
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
1
4
W
27.08.22
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
1
1
D
03.07.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
0
W
08.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
0
W
21.08.21
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
0
0
D
03.07.21
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
0
4
W
08.05.21
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
L
19.09.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
3
2
W
13.07.19
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
2
1
L
05.05.19
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
3
L
29.07.18
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
2
D
12.05.18
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
0
5
W
02.07.17
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
L
22.04.17
H2H
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
2
4
W
Last matches: Canberra FC
08.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
5
4
W
02.08.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Juventus
4
0
W
11.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Brindabella
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra Olympic
3
0
W
28.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
1
2
L
10.06.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Queanbeyan City
4
2
W
24.05.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
4
1
W
24.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
1
W
15.04.26
Cap
Canberra FC
Canberra White Eagles
5
0
W
16.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
NWS Spirit
0
1
L
01.11.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Avondale
1
4
L
19.10.25
Aus
Canberra FC
Preston Lions
3
2
W
13.09.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
1
2
L
06.09.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
31.08.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Tuggeranong United
7
2
W
02.08.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Yoogali CT
1
2
L
12.07.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Monaro Panthers
0
2
L
06.07.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Cooma Tigers FC
4
0
W
29.06.25
Cap
Canberra FC
Gungahlin United
4
5
L
31.05.25
Cap
Canberra FC
O'Connor Knights
9
1
W
H2H at home: Canberra FC
03.07.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
0
W
08.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
0
W
08.05.21
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
L
19.09.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
3
2
W
05.05.19
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
3
L
29.07.18
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
2
D
02.07.17
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
L
Last matches: Belconnen United
08.08.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Monaro Panthers
0
7
L
11.07.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Tuggeranong United
0
1
L
13.06.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Brindabella
4
1
W
23.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Olympic
4
4
D
09.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Cooma Tigers FC
2
3
L
02.05.26
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
1
2
L
24.04.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Queanbeyan City
1
4
L
11.04.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Juventus
1
2
L
28.03.26
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra White Eagles
1
1
D
10.09.22
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
1
3
L
20.08.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra Olympic
0
4
L
06.08.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Woden Vellet
2
3
L
30.07.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Monaro Panthers
2
2
D
23.07.22
Cap
Belconnen United
O'Connor Knights
0
1
L
03.07.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
0
4
L
19.06.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Gungahlin United
0
3
L
28.05.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Monaro Panthers
0
6
L
14.05.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Cooma Tigers FC
1
3
L
08.05.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Canberra FC
0
2
L
09.04.22
Cap
Belconnen United
Woden Vellet
2
1
W
H2H away: Belconnen United
03.07.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
4
0
L
08.05.22
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
W
19.09.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
0
L
23.08.20
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
3
2
L
05.05.19
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
3
W
29.07.18
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
2
2
D
02.07.17
H2H
Canberra FC
Belconnen United
1
2
W

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 16 1 2 60:24 36 49
W W W W W
2 20 14 2 4 59:24 35 44
W W W W D
3 19 14 1 4 66:26 40 43
L W D W W
4 19 13 0 6 47:39 8 39
W L W L W
5 19 11 2 6 41:28 13 35
W W W L D
6 19 11 0 8 39:37 2 33
L W L L L
7 19 6 2 11 40:51 -11 20
W L L D W
8 19 6 2 11 24:38 -14 20
W L D D L
9 19 2 3 14 25:46 -21 9
L L L D L
10 19 3 0 16 11:61 -50 9
L L L W L
11 19 2 1 16 17:55 -38 7
L L W L L