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TURKEY › 1. LIG
19.10.2026 17:00
Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu
Referee: Melek Dakan

Bursaspor vs Pendikspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.1%
1.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bursaspor Win 73.1%
Draw 5.3%
Pendikspor Win 21.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bursaspor1.87
Pendikspor1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bursaspor Bursaspor
WWDLW
22 GF / 10 GA
Pendikspor Pendikspor
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.42
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bursaspor Bursaspor 12 matches
Pendikspor Pendikspor 12 matches
Bursaspor Statistic Pendikspor
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
2 Losses 4
22 Goals For 17
10 Goals Against 23
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.9
14.4 Total Shots 12.7
5.5 Corners 4.5
59.3% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bursaspor's more proactive style and Pendikspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bursaspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Pendikspor in 13 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pendikspor. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bursaspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pendikspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pendikspor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bursaspor Analysis

Bursaspor approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 19 points after 9 outings. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Ịheanachọ (10 goals), Lincoln (2 goals), A. Babacan (1 goals), with creative support from K. Ịheanachọ (2 assists), Lincoln (1 assists), A. Babacan (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Pendikspor Analysis

Pendikspor are currently 13 in the standings with 10 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 11:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Yeşil (1 goals), Thuram (1 goals), Y. Sönmez (1 goals), with creative support from H. Yeşil (1 assists), Thuram (1 assists), Y. Sönmez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Bursaspor 4-2-3-1 / Pendikspor 4-1-4-1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
10 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
11 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
12 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
13 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
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