Burnley vs Birmingham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Burnley Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burnley1.01
Birmingham1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burnley
WWDLW
12 GF / 25 GA
Birmingham
WLDWL
16 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.78
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
3.6
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burnley
11 matches
Birmingham
9 matches
| Burnley | Statistic | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 0 |
| 12 | Goals For | 16 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.8 | Total Shots | 10.75 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Burnley won 3 times, Birmingham won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Burnley's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Burnley 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burnley wins 3, draws 4, Birmingham wins 3
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Birmingham
Away
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 4 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 |
Burnley
Home
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One