COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
31.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Américo Montanini
Referee: Jonnathan Ortiz
Bucaramanga
Match Timeline
Llaneros
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
M. Sierra ↔ J. Castilla
Llaneros
🔄
15'
O. Albornoz ↔ J. Salazar
Bucaramanga
🟨
18'
Jhon Vásquez
Llaneros
54'
F. Sambueza · Assist: L. Flores
Bucaramanga
🟨
60'
Freddy Hinestroza
Bucaramanga
🔄
61'
L. Flores ↔ A. Zarate
Bucaramanga
🔄
61'
↔ K. Quinto
Bucaramanga
🔄
63'
Kelvin Osorio ↔ J. Contreras
Llaneros
🔄
63'
Y. Mena ↔ C. Cortes
Llaneros
🟨
64'
Joel Contreras
Llaneros
🟨
68'
Juan Castilla
Llaneros
69'
F. Meza · Assist: N. Ospina
Llaneros
🟨
74'
Fabry Castro
Bucaramanga
🔄
81'
L. Pons ↔ B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga
🔄
81'
Jhon Vasquez ↔ D. Quintero
Llaneros
🔄
81'
N. Ospina ↔ J. Ramirez
Llaneros
🟨
84'
Brandon Caicedo
Bucaramanga
🟨
90+2'
Jhojan Escobar
Llaneros

Bucaramanga vs Llaneros Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 61.9%
Draw 12.2%
Llaneros Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.2
Llaneros0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Llaneros Llaneros
WLDWL
18 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
4
4.05
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 21 matches
Llaneros Llaneros 21 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Llaneros
6 Wins 5
8 Draws 10
7 Losses 6
28 Goals For 18
23 Goals Against 21
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 7
4.05 Shots On Goal 3.6
13.15 Total Shots 10.7
4.6 Corners 5.15
51.4% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Llaneros's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Llaneros. Bucaramanga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Bucaramanga Analysis

Bucaramanga sit 13 with 23 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 26:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Llaneros Analysis

With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 1 times, Llaneros won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1 / Llaneros 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 1, draws 2, Llaneros wins 1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L W W D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L W D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W D D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification