AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
12.08.2026 08:30
Calwell Field
Brindabella
Match Timeline
Tuggeranong United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
D. Rodriguez
Tuggeranong United
25'
J. Ceruti
Tuggeranong United
32'
A. Goodwin
Tuggeranong United
34'
T. Milnes
Tuggeranong United
67'
M. Williams
Tuggeranong United
70'
K. Yariyari
Tuggeranong United

Brindabella vs Tuggeranong United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brindabella Win 28.2%
Draw 4.7%
Tuggeranong United Win 67.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brindabella1.22
Tuggeranong United2.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brindabella Brindabella
WWDLW
10 GF / 49 GA
Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United
WLDWL
41 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.59
Average Goals Scored
2.28
2.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
5
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brindabella Brindabella 17 matches
Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 18 matches
Brindabella Statistic Tuggeranong United
3 Wins 12
0 Draws 0
14 Losses 6
10 Goals For 41
49 Goals Against 39
0.59 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
2.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
5 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
9 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tuggeranong United's more proactive style and Brindabella's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tuggeranong United having the stronger overall control. Tuggeranong United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Brindabella sit 10 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Tuggeranong United look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tuggeranong United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Brindabella Analysis

Brindabella sit 10 with 9 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 13 defeats with a 10:46 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tuggeranong United Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 16 games, Tuggeranong United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 11 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 37:34, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Brindabella won 0 times, Tuggeranong United won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:11 from Brindabella's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Brindabella wins 0, draws 0, Tuggeranong United wins 2

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 17 1 2 64:24 40 52
W W W W W
2 20 15 1 4 71:26 45 46
L W L W D
3 20 14 2 4 59:24 35 44
W W W W W
4 20 14 0 6 49:39 10 42
L W W L W
5 20 12 2 6 42:28 14 38
L W W W W
6 20 11 0 9 39:39 0 33
L L L W L
7 20 7 2 11 45:55 -10 23
W W L L D
8 20 6 2 12 24:39 -15 20
L W L D D
9 20 2 3 15 25:50 -25 9
L L L L D
10 20 3 0 17 15:66 -51 9
L L L L W
11 20 2 1 17 17:60 -43 7
L L L W L