ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. H. Thrastarson
Breidablik
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
D. Gardarson · Assist: J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
54'
D. Ingvarsson · Assist: K. Kristinsson
Breidablik
🟨
56'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
60'
K. Kristinsson ↔ T. Ulfarsson
Breidablik
🔄
60'
P. Pedersen ↔ I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
60'
D. Fjeldsted ↔ J. Arnarsson
Breidablik
🔄
68'
B. Heimisson ↔ H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
68'
D. Gardarson ↔ K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
71'
G. Hallsson
Breidablik
🟨
72'
S. Fridjonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
72'
H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
73'
H. Gunnlaugsson ↔ K. Steindorsson
Breidablik
78'
T. Haraldsson · Assist: H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
81'
A. Thorsteinsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
G. Hallsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
D. Ingvarsson ↔ K. Jonsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
L. Heimisson ↔ J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
89'
J. Jonsson · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Breidablik Win 72%
Draw 4.8%
Valur Reykjavik Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Breidablik2.02
Valur Reykjavik1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Breidablik Breidablik
WWDLW
35 GF / 27 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
31 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
11
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Breidablik Breidablik 17 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 20 matches
Breidablik Statistic Valur Reykjavik
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 11
35 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 39
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
11 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 1.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 8.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Breidablik's more proactive style and Valur Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Breidablik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 29 points compared to Valur Reykjavik in 5 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valur Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valur Reykjavik.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 29 points after 16 outings. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 35:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 19 points from 16 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 26:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Breidablik won 7 times, Valur Reykjavik won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:26 from Breidablik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Breidablik - / Valur Reykjavik 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Breidablik wins 7, draws 2, Valur Reykjavik wins 6
Last matches: Breidablik
16.08.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
04.08.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
0
1
L
27.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
0
W
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
13.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Stjarnan
4
4
D
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
17.08.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
4
4
D
13.08.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
FC Nordsjaelland
0
5
L
06.08.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
FC Nordsjaelland
0
2
L
03.08.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
2
3
L
30.07.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Zrinjski
2
2
D
23.07.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Zrinjski
1
0
W
18.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
12.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
2
L
04.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
L
28.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
4
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
1
D
16.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
0
1
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
26.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
4
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
4
2
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
0
W
H2H: Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik
09.08.26
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
3
L
17.05.26
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
L
22.09.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
2
1
L
19.05.25
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
15.08.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
0
2
W
06.05.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
28.09.23
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
2
L
25.05.23
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
0
2
W
22.10.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
2
5
W
05.09.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
16.06.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
L
26.05.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
6
2
W
Last matches: Breidablik
27.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
0
W
13.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Samsunspor
2
2
D
23.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
KuPS
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Virtus
2
1
W
14.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Zrinjski
1
2
L
30.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
15.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5
0
W
H2H at home: Breidablik
09.08.26
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
3
L
19.05.25
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
06.05.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
25.05.23
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
05.09.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
26.05.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
6
2
W
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
13.08.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
FC Nordsjaelland
0
5
L
30.07.26
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Zrinjski
2
2
D
12.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
2
L
04.07.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
L
28.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
4
2
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
0
1
L
26.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
1
0
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
4
2
W
24.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
H2H away: Valur Reykjavik
09.08.26
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
3
W
19.05.25
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
06.05.24
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
W
25.05.23
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
L
05.09.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
L
26.05.22
H2H
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
6
2
L

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 3 1 62:18 44 48
W D D W L
2 19 12 4 3 67:42 25 40
D W D W W
3 19 12 4 3 48:35 13 40
W L W D W
4 19 8 6 5 39:33 6 30
D L L W D
5 19 7 4 8 33:37 -4 25
W W D W L
6 19 7 4 8 30:34 -4 25
W L W L W
7 19 7 2 10 35:40 -5 23
D W L L L
8 19 6 3 10 34:46 -12 21
L W W L L
9 19 4 5 10 30:41 -11 17
L D L L D
10 19 3 8 8 24:36 -12 17
L W D D D
11 19 4 4 11 28:40 -12 16
D L L D D
12 19 4 3 12 18:46 -28 15
L L W D W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs