ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
09.08.2026 20:15
Referee: S. H. Thrastarson
Breidablik
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
D. Gardarson · Assist: J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
54'
D. Ingvarsson · Assist: K. Kristinsson
Breidablik
🟨
56'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
60'
K. Kristinsson ↔ T. Ulfarsson
Breidablik
🔄
60'
D. Fjeldsted ↔ J. Arnarsson
Breidablik
🔄
60'
P. Pedersen ↔ I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
68'
B. Heimisson ↔ H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
68'
D. Gardarson ↔ K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
71'
G. Hallsson
Breidablik
🟨
72'
S. Fridjonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
72'
H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
73'
H. Gunnlaugsson ↔ K. Steindorsson
Breidablik
78'
T. Haraldsson · Assist: H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
81'
A. Thorsteinsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
D. Ingvarsson ↔ K. Jonsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
G. Hallsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
85'
L. Heimisson ↔ J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
89'
J. Jonsson · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Breidablik Win 72%
Draw 4.8%
Valur Reykjavik Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Breidablik2.02
Valur Reykjavik1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Breidablik Breidablik
WWDLW
35 GF / 27 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
31 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
11
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Breidablik Breidablik 17 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 20 matches
Breidablik Statistic Valur Reykjavik
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 11
35 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 39
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
11 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 1.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 8.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Breidablik's more proactive style and Valur Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Breidablik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 29 points compared to Valur Reykjavik in 5 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valur Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valur Reykjavik.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 29 points after 16 outings. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 35:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 19 points from 16 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 26:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Breidablik won 7 times, Valur Reykjavik won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:26 from Breidablik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Breidablik - / Valur Reykjavik 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Breidablik wins 7, draws 2, Valur Reykjavik wins 6

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D D W W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D D W W L
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W L D W D
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L L L D L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
L W D D W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L L W W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
W D W W L
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W W D L D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W L W D L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L W W L L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W D L D
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs