BRAZIL SERIE A
22.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.28
Sao Paulo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo Botafogo
WWDLW
40 GF / 43 GA
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
18
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo Botafogo 29 matches
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 25 matches
Botafogo Statistic Sao Paulo
9 Wins 9
8 Draws 6
12 Losses 10
40 Goals For 31
43 Goals Against 28
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
18 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 4.28
14.03 Total Shots 13.36
4.34 Corners 6.72
48.3% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 5 times, Sao Paulo won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Botafogo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 5, draws 6, Sao Paulo wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 51:21 30 54
W W W L W
2 26 15 8 3 45:21 24 53
D D W L D
3 26 13 6 7 38:28 10 45
L D W D W
4 26 12 9 5 40:32 8 45
W D W W D
5 26 11 10 5 40:32 8 43
W W W D D
6 26 12 6 8 38:37 1 42
W L W W W
7 26 10 7 9 34:35 -1 37
L W W D W
8 25 10 6 9 32:30 2 36
L W D W D
9 25 10 5 10 31:28 3 35
L L W D L
10 25 9 6 10 31:28 3 33
W W L D L
11 26 8 8 10 27:27 0 32
L L L L W
12 25 8 8 9 37:38 -1 32
W W D W L
13 25 8 7 10 37:40 -3 31
D L L L D
14 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 26 7 7 12 29:40 -11 28
W L D D L
17 25 6 7 12 27:40 -13 25
L W L L D
18 26 5 10 11 28:34 -6 25
L L D D D
19 26 5 8 13 30:43 -13 23
L L L D D
20 25 3 8 14 27:50 -23 17
W L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B