BRAZIL SERIE A
25.04.2026 21:30
Arena BRB Mané Garrincha
Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
Botafogo
Match Timeline
Internacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Clayton Sampaio
Internacional
🟨
13'
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo
🔄
33'
Vitinho ↔ M. Ponte
Botafogo
🟨
36'
Félix Torres
Internacional
🔄
46'
Junior Santos ↔ K. Barria
Botafogo
54'
Danilo · Assist: M. Ponte
Botafogo
59'
J. Carbonero · Assist: Alerrandro
Internacional
🔄
62'
Vitinho ↔ Alan Patrick
Internacional
🔄
62'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Paulinho Paula
Internacional
🔄
62'
Alerrandro ↔ R. Borre
Internacional
66'
C. Medina
Botafogo
🔄
67'
Edenilson ↔ J. Correa
Botafogo
🔄
67'
Matheus Martins ↔ A. Montoro
Botafogo
🟨
71'
Victor Gabriel
Internacional
74'
A. Bernabei
Internacional
🔄
78'
Arthur Cabral ↔ Allan
Botafogo
🟨
80'
Joaquin Correa
Botafogo
🔄
84'
J. Carbonero ↔ Matheus Bahia
Internacional

Botafogo vs Internacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 50.2%
Draw 10.5%
Internacional Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.4
Internacional1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo Botafogo
WWDLW
25 GF / 25 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
3
4.53
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo Botafogo 15 matches
Internacional Internacional 12 matches
Botafogo Statistic Internacional
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
25 Goals For 10
25 Goals Against 12
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 3
6 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
4.53 Shots On Goal 5.08
11.67 Total Shots 15.42
3.53 Corners 8.58
50.7% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Internacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo Analysis

Botafogo are currently 9 in the standings with 16 points from 11 matches. The record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Danilo (6 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), Arthur Cabral (3 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), A. Barboza (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Kaio Pantaleao, C. Ramos, S. Rodriguez unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional sit 14 with 13 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alan Patrick (3 goals), Alerrandro (1 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (1 goals), with creative support from Vitinho (3 assists), J. Carbonero (1 assists), R. Borre (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Ronaldo, Thiago Maia unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 6 times, Internacional won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Botafogo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-3-3 / Internacional 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Botafogo 4, Internacional 5
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 6, draws 1, Internacional wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 25 15 6 4 50:21 29 51
W W L W W
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 25 6 7 12 27:39 -12 25
L D D L L
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19 25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B