BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: J. Ferreira
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Operario-PR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🟨
21'
Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🟨
23'
William Klaus
Operario-PR
🟨
36'
Gabriel Boschilia
Operario-PR
🟨
44'
Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
VAR
45+2'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
45'
Boschilia
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Thiago Moraes ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Mikael Doka ↔ Maguinho
Operario-PR
🔄
62'
Ze Hugo ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
Matheus Sales ↔ Yuri Felipe
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
Arthur Caike ↔ Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
65'
Hygor · Assist: Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
68'
H. Pereira ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
VAR
73'
Maguinho
Operario-PR
🟨
75'
Maguinho
Operario-PR
81'
Hygor · Assist: Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
🔄
83'
Moraes ↔ Felipe Augusto
Operario-PR
🔄
83'
Vinicius Diniz ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR
🔄
83'
Pablo ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
🟨
90'
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
🔄
90+3'
Hygor ↔ Hebert
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.5%
1.40
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.67
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 32.2%
Draw 16.5%
Operario-PR Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.05
Operario-PR1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
3.08
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 12 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 12 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Operario-PR
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
11 Goals For 14
12 Goals Against 15
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
3.08 Shots On Goal 4.5
11 Total Shots 13.33
6.42 Corners 5.42
46.3% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Operario-PR carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 19 points while Botafogo SP sit 16 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Botafogo SP have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Operario-PR. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Operario-PR in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 16 with 10 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Operario-PR Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Operario-PR have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 14:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (6 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 3 times, Operario-PR won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Operario-PR 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 3, draws 5, Operario-PR wins 3
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 0
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
362 Total passes 413
307 Passes accurate 346
1.03 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
Operario-PR
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Gabriel Inocencio
Gabriel Inocencio
Ericson
Ericson
Vilar
Vilar
Felipe Vieira
Felipe Vieira
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Hygor
⚽ 2
Hygor
Thiago Moraes
Thiago Moraes
Arthur Caike
Arthur Caike
Vagner
Vagner
Mikael Doka
Mikael Doka
Klaus
Klaus
Miranda
Miranda
Gabriel Feliciano
Gabriel Feliciano
Matheus Trindade
Matheus Trindade
H. Pereira
H. Pereira
Boschilia
Boschilia
Vinicius Diniz
Vinicius Diniz
Moraes
Moraes
Pablo
Pablo
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
22
Gabriel Inocencio
3
Ericson
D
4
Vilar
D
26
Felipe Vieira
🟨 44'
D
8
Everton Morelli
🟨 90'
M
16
Matheus Sales
↓ 62' 🟨 15'
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 62'
M
9
Hygor
⚽ 65' ⚽ 81' ↓ 90+3'
M
29
Thiago Moraes
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
M
18
Arthur Caike
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
Jordan
G
17
Guilherme Queiroz
F
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 62'
F
7
Kelvin
F
20
Yuri Felipe
↑ 62'
M
32
Henrique Teles
D
10
Rafael Gava
🎯 81' ↑ 62'
M
23
Wesley Santos
🎯 65' ↑ 46'
F
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
34
Hebert
↑ 90+3'
D
33
Erik Rebello
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Operario-PR 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
33
Vagner
G
2
Mikael Doka
↓ 46'
D
44
Klaus
🟨 23'
D
16
Miranda
D
27
Gabriel Feliciano
D
39
Matheus Trindade
M
14
H. Pereira
↓ 68'
M
10
Boschilia
⚽ 45' 🟨 36'
M
20
Vinicius Diniz
↓ 83'
M
6
Moraes
↓ 83'
M
92
Pablo
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
Elias Curzel
G
7
Felipe Augusto
↑ 83'
F
32
Charles Raphael
88
Neto Paraiba
↑ 68'
M
30
Pedro Vilhena
↑ 83'
28
Dudu Mosconi
F
18
Andre
D
26
Maguinho
↑ 46' 🟨 75'
D
29
E. Torres
F
99
Caio Dantas
↑ 83'
F
4
J. Pool
80
Favero
M
Last matches: Botafogo SP
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
H2H: Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR
14.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
18.09.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
3
0
L
13.10.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.06.24
H2H
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
0
1
W
29.01.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.09.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
25.05.19
H2H
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
0
2
W
28.07.18
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
2
D
27.05.18
H2H
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
3
1
L
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
14.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
18.09.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
13.10.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
0
D
29.01.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
1
L
24.09.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
28.07.18
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
2
D
Last matches: Operario-PR
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
H2H away: Operario-PR
14.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
L
18.09.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
13.10.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
0
D
29.01.21
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
0
1
W
24.09.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
1
1
D
28.07.18
H2H
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.81
Draw 2.89
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.56
Draw 2.00
Home 3.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.68
Over 2.0 1.95
Over 2.25 2.32
Over 2.5 2.67
Over 3.5 5.27
Under 0.5 6.54
Under 1.5 2.61
Under 1.75 2.26
Under 2.0 1.91
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.80
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 1.95
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.10
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.60
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 2.78
Home 2.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.79
Draw 1.78
Home 3.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.07
Draw 2.14
Home 2.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.34
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.42
Over 2.75 2.88
Over 3.0 3.80
Over 3.25 4.16
Over 3.5 4.55
Over 3.75 5.80
Over 4.0 8.50
Over 4.5 9.30
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.70
Under 0.75 5.22
Under 1.0 4.65
Under 1.25 3.12
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 1.75 2.20
Under 2.0 1.83
Under 2.25 1.58
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 2.75 1.32
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.85
Home 2.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.98
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.30
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.57
Over 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.12
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 2.75 2.95
Over 3.0 3.90
Over 3.5 4.70
Over 4.5 10.50
Under 0.5 6.75
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 1.75 2.35
Under 2.0 1.98
Under 2.25 1.68
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.38
Under 3.0 1.24
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 4.5 1.02

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 4 2 20:10 10 25
D W D W D
2 13 7 4 2 18:12 6 25
L W W W W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 13 6 3 4 15:14 1 21
L W L W L
5 13 5 6 2 20:13 7 21
D W D W D
6 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
7 13 6 2 5 18:14 4 20
D L L W W
8 13 5 4 4 13:8 5 19
W L W L D
9 13 5 4 4 15:17 -2 19
L W W D L
10 13 4 7 2 9:6 3 19
W W W L D
11 13 4 7 2 15:13 2 19
D D W W D
12 13 5 3 5 13:18 -5 18
D L D W W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 13 4 5 4 15:15 0 17
D W L L W
15 13 4 3 6 22:23 -1 15
D L L W W
16 13 3 4 6 13:13 0 13
W L D L L
17 13 3 2 8 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
18 13 2 4 7 14:20 -6 10
L L L L L
19 13 2 2 9 10:25 -15 8
L L D L L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
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