FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
4 - 2
Raatin stadion
OLS
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
M. Akbal
TPV
21'
M. Akbal
TPV
44'
E. Merikanto
OLS
50'
E. Raittinen
OLS
57'
E. Raittinen
OLS
🟨
60'
J. Venemies
TPV
🟨
65'
A. Kujala
TPV
🔄
72'
B. Ozcelik ↔ S. Sipila
TPV
🔄
72'
R. Kostiainen ↔ T. Ylinen
TPV
74'
E. Merikanto
OLS
🟨
76'
M. Akbal
TPV
🟨
78'
B. Ozcelik
TPV
🟨
78'
M. Fyrsten
OLS
🔄
79'
M. Akbal ↔ E. Maentakanen
TPV
🔄
79'
V. Puustinen ↔ S. Pitkakoski
TPV
🔄
82'
J. Polvi ↔ O. Parkkila
OLS
🔄
82'
S. Ala-Iso ↔ L. Piirto
OLS
🔄
82'
J. Lotvonen ↔ A. Korkala
OLS
🟨
86'
J. Pentti
OLS
🔄
89'
J. Korhonen ↔ A. Aapajarvi
OLS
🔄
89'
O. Kemppainen ↔ H. Taumberger
OLS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
OLS Win 68%
Draw 5.6%
TPV Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
OLS1.89
TPV1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
OLS OLS
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
35 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OLS OLS 17 matches
TPV TPV 22 matches
OLS Statistic TPV
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
32 Goals For 35
24 Goals Against 42
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between OLS's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring TPV.

OLS Analysis

OLS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 26 points after 17 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 32:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

TPV Analysis

TPV sit 9 with 16 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 19:29 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, OLS won 1 times, TPV won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from OLS's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: OLS wins 1, draws 2, TPV wins 1

Lineups

OLS
Formation
TPV
J. Pentti
J. Pentti
O. Kemppainen
O. Kemppainen
K. Jatta
K. Jatta
S. Ala-Iso
S. Ala-Iso
S. Silander
S. Silander
M. Babb
M. Babb
J. Lotvonen
J. Lotvonen
J. Polvi
J. Polvi
J. Korhonen
J. Korhonen
E. Merikanto
⚽ 2
E. Merikanto
E. Raittinen
⚽ 2
E. Raittinen
M. Syrjala
M. Syrjala
A. Kujala
A. Kujala
B. Ozcelik
B. Ozcelik
R. Kostiainen
R. Kostiainen
V. Puustinen
V. Puustinen
J. Yli-Rajala
J. Yli-Rajala
E. Riikonen
E. Riikonen
M. Akbal
⚽ 2
M. Akbal
J. Venemies
J. Venemies
J. Mattila
J. Mattila
K. Kylen
K. Kylen
OLS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Pentti
🟨 86'
16
O. Kemppainen
↓ 89'
20
K. Jatta
23
S. Ala-Iso
↓ 82'
29
S. Silander
31
M. Babb
36
J. Lotvonen
↓ 82'
38
J. Polvi
↓ 82'
40
J. Korhonen
↓ 89'
45
E. Merikanto
⚽ 44' ⚽ 74'
47
E. Raittinen
⚽ 50' ⚽ 57'
Substitutes
57
M. Fyrsten
🟨 78'
15
O. Parkkila
↑ 82'
37
L. Piirto
↑ 82'
49
T. Ridanpaa
54
A. Aapajarvi
↑ 89'
60
P. Yllasjarvi
75
O. Viinikka
80
H. Taumberger
↑ 89'
86
A. Korkala
↑ 82'
TPV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
M. Syrjala
7
A. Kujala
🟨 65'
8
B. Ozcelik
↓ 72' 🟨 78'
11
R. Kostiainen
↓ 72'
13
V. Puustinen
↓ 79'
17
J. Yli-Rajala
18
E. Riikonen
19
M. Akbal
⚽ 17' ⚽ 21' ↓ 79' 🟨 76'
22
J. Venemies
🟨 60'
25
J. Mattila
33
K. Kylen
Substitutes
12
N. Pienmunne
9
E. Maentakanen
↑ 79'
26
S. Pitkakoski
↑ 79'
34
S. Sipila
↑ 72'
56
T. Ylinen
↑ 72'
Last matches: OLS
29.08.26
Ykk
OLS
Tampere United
2
1
W
22.08.26
Ykk
OLS
SalPa
1
4
L
15.08.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
3
4
L
04.07.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
OLS
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
11.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Tampere United
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ykk
OLS
SalPa
5
0
W
02.06.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
OLS
TPV
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
1
0
W
Last matches: TPV
29.08.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
0
2
L
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
1
1
D
11.08.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
H2H: OLS vs TPV
05.08.26
H2H
OLS
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
H2H
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
23.09.18
H2H
OLS
TPV
0
3
L
26.06.18
H2H
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
Last matches: OLS
29.08.26
Ykk
OLS
Tampere United
2
1
W
15.08.26
Ykk
OLS
Rops
3
3
D
26.07.26
Ykk
OLS
KPV-j
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ykk
OLS
Inter Turku II
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
OLS
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
OLS
SalPa
5
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
OLS
FC jazz
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
OLS
JJK
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ykk
OLS
PKKU
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
OLS
VJS
1
0
W
H2H at home: OLS
05.08.26
H2H
OLS
TPV
4
2
W
23.09.18
H2H
OLS
TPV
0
3
L
Last matches: TPV
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
1
1
D
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
H2H away: TPV
05.08.26
H2H
OLS
TPV
4
2
L
23.09.18
H2H
OLS
TPV
0
3
W

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 5 4 47:18 29 44
L W D D W
2 22 11 7 4 47:32 15 40
W L D W D
3 22 10 6 6 41:35 6 36
W W L D W
4 22 9 8 5 40:30 10 35
W D D W D
5
OLS Home
22 9 7 6 43:35 8 34
W L D D W
6 22 9 6 7 32:29 3 33
W D W D D
7 22 8 7 7 51:42 9 31
W D D D L
8 22 7 10 5 38:31 7 31
L D D W D
9
TPV Away
22 6 6 10 30:40 -10 24
L W D D L
10 22 5 5 12 32:51 -19 20
L L L L W
11 22 3 6 13 37:51 -14 15
L W D L L
12 22 4 3 15 24:68 -44 15
L L W L L