GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
09.10.2026 18:30
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 57.2%
Draw 7.3%
Werder Bremen Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.64
Werder Bremen1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
20 GF / 12 GA
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
6
4.67
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 11 matches
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 11 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic Werder Bremen
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
20 Goals For 24
12 Goals Against 15
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
6 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 6.5
13.5 Total Shots 13.75
5 Corners 3.5
47.2% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, Werder Bremen won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:19 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 8, draws 5, Werder Bremen wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation