GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
12.09.2026 13:30
Signal Iduna Park
Referee: H. Osmers
Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
F. Silva · Assist: S. Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
VAR
31'
Serhou Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
39'
Laurin Ulrich
SC Paderborn 07
VAR
45+3'
Serhou Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
64'
E. Nwaneri ↔ M. Sabitzer
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
64'
J. Veerman ↔ F. Nmecha
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
64'
F. Silva ↔ C. Chukwuemeka
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
66'
Jobe Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
67'
L. Curda ↔ C. Lippmann
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
67'
G. Vidovic ↔ O. Batista Meier
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
67'
S. Marino ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
77'
N. Schlotterbeck ↔ R. Bensebaini
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
77'
J. Ryerson ↔ M. Beier
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
77'
L. Ulrich ↔ L. Djuric
SC Paderborn 07
⚽
80'
F. Nmecha · Assist: M. Beier
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
M. Hansen ↔ R. Philippe
SC Paderborn 07
⚽
89'
F. Nmecha · Assist: M. Sabitzer
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.6%
1.27 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.36 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 51.6%
Draw 12.5%
SC Paderborn 07 Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.47
SC Paderborn 071.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 9 matches
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 6 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic SC Paderborn 07
5 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
16 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 6
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 1.5
13.5 Total Shots 12
5.25 Corners 3.5
46% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 4 times, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / SC Paderborn 07 3-1-4-2
Missing players: Borussia Dortmund 7, SC Paderborn 07 5
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 4, draws 3, SC Paderborn 07 wins 0

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
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