Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
78.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
45%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Bastia
Le Mans
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bastia
36 matches
Le Mans
38 matches
| Bastia | Statistic | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 16 |
| 14 | Draws | 17 |
| 15 | Losses | 5 |
| 30 | Goals For | 53 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.74 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 10.86 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Le Mans's more proactive style and Bastia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Le Mans. Le Mans carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 59 points while Bastia sit 17 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bastia expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Le Mans in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Mans having the stronger overall control.
Bastia sit 17 with 28 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 13 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 23:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felix Tomi (4 goals), J. Sebas (4 goals), Joachim Eickmayer (3 goals), with creative support from Felix Tomi (2 assists), A. Boutrah (2 assists), Alexandre Bi Zaouai (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 2 with 59 points from 33 outings, Le Mans continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 14 draws, and 4 losses, while the 48:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Gueye (10 goals), A. Rabillard (9 goals), E. Colas (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rabillard (5 assists), Lucas Calodat (4 assists), D. Gueye (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bastia won 4 times, Le Mans won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Bastia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Bastia
2
5
3
2
3
1
Lineups
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Guingamp
Bastia
Clermont Foot
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
Bastia
Amiens
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Boulogne
Bastia
PAU
Bastia
Annecy
Bastia
Dunkerque
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Reims
Bastia
Nancy
Bastia
Montpellier
Bastia
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Grenoble
Bastia
Pontivy GSI
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Le Mans
Versailles
Le Mans
La Roche VF
Le Mans
Reims
Le Mans
Grenoble
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
Boulogne
Le Mans
PAU
Le Mans
Amiens
Le Mans
Nancy
Le Mans
Annecy
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
Le Mans
Guingamp
Le Mans
Montpellier
Le Mans
Laval
Le Mans
Reims
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Dunkerque
Le Mans
Rodez
Le Mans
Nancy
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Bastia
Amiens
Bastia
Boulogne
Bastia
Annecy
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Nancy
Bastia
Montpellier
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Grenoble
Bastia
Laval
Bastia
Reims
Bastia
Clermont Foot
Bastia
Dunkerque
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Guingamp
Bastia
PAU
Le Mans
Grenoble
Le Mans
Boulogne
Le Mans
Amiens
Le Mans
Nancy
Le Mans
RED Star FC 93
Le Mans
Montpellier
Le Mans
Reims
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Rodez
Le Mans
Périgny
Le Mans
Annecy
Le Mans
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
Le Mans
PAU
Le Mans
Ivry
Le Mans
Laval
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Le Mans
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
Dunkerque
Le Mans
Reims
Le Mans
Guingamp
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 67 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Le Mans
Away
|
34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 19 | 62 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 21 | 60 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 58 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 6 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | -14 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 43 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | -15 | 36 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Bastia
Home
|
34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | -28 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|