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24.10.2026 16:15
Jenner Park

Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barry Town Win 88%
Draw 6%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barry Town1.89
Haverfordwest County AFC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barry Town Barry Town
WWDLW
42 GF / 29 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
19 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
14
BTTS Yes
5
14
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barry Town Barry Town 19 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 17 matches
Barry Town Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
13 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 10
42 Goals For 19
29 Goals Against 24
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
14 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 8
12 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barry Town's more proactive style and Haverfordwest County AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barry Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 25 points compared to Haverfordwest County AFC in 12 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haverfordwest County AFC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Haverfordwest County AFC.

Barry Town Analysis

Barry Town sit 6 with 25 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 28:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC sit 12 with 10 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 8:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town won 4 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Barry Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Barry Town wins 4, draws 6, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)